Complete Economic Observatory MVP (ADAPTIVE-WP-0002)
Add file-based Bubble, Stripe, and OpenRouter importers; usage attribution, cost allocation, pricing simulator, credit wallets, and recommendations in the dashboard API. Document whynot-design UI workflow and archive the finished workplan with all ten tasks marked done.
This commit is contained in:
parent
04ee6d2421
commit
0a38def5a5
26 changed files with 871 additions and 111 deletions
|
|
@ -1,255 +0,0 @@
|
|||
---
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002
|
||||
type: workplan
|
||||
title: "Economic Observatory MVP (Coulomb Social)"
|
||||
domain: helix_forge
|
||||
repo: adaptive-pricing
|
||||
status: active
|
||||
owner: codex
|
||||
topic_slug: helix-forge
|
||||
created: "2026-06-21"
|
||||
updated: "2026-06-22"
|
||||
state_hub_workstream_id: "9e0b7784-702a-4bc7-b7a1-3ff801f9c768"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
# Economic Observatory MVP (Coulomb Social)
|
||||
|
||||
Build the first practical implementation of the Adaptive Pricing framework using
|
||||
Coulomb Social memberships as a live economic laboratory.
|
||||
|
||||
The MVP focuses on observation, measurement, simulation, and pricing discovery
|
||||
before introducing adaptive customer pricing.
|
||||
|
||||
## Context
|
||||
|
||||
### Current Product: Coulomb Social
|
||||
|
||||
**Membership:** €8.99/month subscription, managed through Bubble.io, paid through
|
||||
Stripe, grants repository and community access.
|
||||
|
||||
**Fixed costs:** Bubble.io subscription (~$35/month), domains, operational overhead.
|
||||
|
||||
**Variable costs:** Stripe transaction fees, future OpenRouter AI consumption costs.
|
||||
|
||||
### MVP Vision
|
||||
|
||||
The MVP shall provide an Economic Observatory capable of answering:
|
||||
|
||||
1. What does a member actually cost?
|
||||
2. What is the current CostFloor?
|
||||
3. What margin exists at current pricing?
|
||||
4. How much AI cost is generated by individual members?
|
||||
5. Which pricing models appear viable?
|
||||
6. Which customer segments emerge?
|
||||
7. When would usage-based pricing become necessary?
|
||||
|
||||
### Scope
|
||||
|
||||
**Included:** membership analytics, revenue tracking, cost tracking, OpenRouter cost
|
||||
attribution, CostFloor calculation, margin analysis, pricing simulations, pricing
|
||||
model registry.
|
||||
|
||||
**Excluded:** dynamic pricing, automated price changes, customer-tunable pricing,
|
||||
advanced LTV optimization, marketplace pricing.
|
||||
|
||||
### Architecture
|
||||
|
||||
```text
|
||||
Bubble.io
|
||||
|
|
||||
+-- Membership Data
|
||||
|
|
||||
Stripe
|
||||
|
|
||||
+-- Revenue Data
|
||||
+-- Fee Data
|
||||
|
|
||||
OpenRouter
|
||||
|
|
||||
+-- Usage Data
|
||||
+-- Cost Data
|
||||
|
|
||||
Adaptive Pricing MVP
|
||||
|
|
||||
+-- Cost Registry
|
||||
+-- Revenue Registry
|
||||
+-- Usage Registry
|
||||
+-- Cost Allocation Engine
|
||||
+-- Pricing Simulator
|
||||
+-- Reporting Dashboard
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
### Success Criteria
|
||||
|
||||
The MVP is successful when it can:
|
||||
|
||||
- Calculate CostFloor
|
||||
- Calculate Margin
|
||||
- Attribute AI cost to members
|
||||
- Simulate alternative pricing models
|
||||
- Compare subscription and usage-based models
|
||||
- Explain economic outcomes
|
||||
- Produce pricing recommendations
|
||||
|
||||
### Future Phases
|
||||
|
||||
| Phase | Focus |
|
||||
|-------|-------|
|
||||
| Phase 2 | Customer-visible AI credits |
|
||||
| Phase 3 | Usage-based billing |
|
||||
| Phase 4 | Customer-tunable pricing |
|
||||
| Phase 5 | Constraint-based pricing solver |
|
||||
| Phase 6 | Auto-Regulating Market Value Exploring Price Engine |
|
||||
|
||||
The MVP should establish a data-driven foundation for pricing decisions and
|
||||
generate the real-world observations necessary to evolve toward adaptive pricing,
|
||||
customer-tunable pricing, and ultimately an auto-regulating market value
|
||||
exploration engine.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 1 — Economic Foundations
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T01
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "fac96369-a037-4b7e-a1ed-92659bce7e4e"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Create the core economic model.
|
||||
|
||||
**Deliverables:** product model, pricing model registry, cost registry, revenue
|
||||
registry, membership registry.
|
||||
|
||||
**Metrics:** monthly revenue, monthly cost, cost per member, gross margin, active
|
||||
members.
|
||||
|
||||
**Output:** Economics Dashboard v1.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-21: `projects/coulomb-pricing/observatory/` with JSON registries
|
||||
under `data/`, economics snapshot engine, CLI dashboard (`python3 -m
|
||||
observatory`), sample report `reports/economics-2026-06.md`, and pytest suite.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 2 — Bubble.io Integration
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T02
|
||||
status: todo
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "42c181f9-9f4e-414e-aa94-b08c763abdef"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Import membership information.
|
||||
|
||||
**Deliverables:** Bubble membership importer, membership snapshots, active member
|
||||
tracking, historical growth tracking.
|
||||
|
||||
**Metrics:** total members, new members, churn, growth rate.
|
||||
|
||||
**Output:** Membership Analytics Dashboard.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 3 — Stripe Integration
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T03
|
||||
status: wait
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "c7e308bc-5977-40c8-985a-9dca2ad3984a"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Capture actual revenue and payment costs.
|
||||
|
||||
**Deliverables:** Stripe synchronization, revenue tracking, fee tracking, refund
|
||||
tracking.
|
||||
|
||||
**Metrics:** net revenue, Stripe fees, revenue per member.
|
||||
|
||||
**Output:** Revenue Dashboard.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 4 — OpenRouter Cost Attribution
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T04
|
||||
status: wait
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "b2b61910-429c-46e9-93b8-25702ca337a7"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Track AI usage and cost.
|
||||
|
||||
**Deliverables:** OpenRouter usage importer, cost attribution per user,
|
||||
model-level cost tracking, token accounting.
|
||||
|
||||
**Metrics:** cost per user, cost per model, total AI spend.
|
||||
|
||||
**Output:** AI Cost Dashboard.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 5 — Cost Allocation Engine
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T05
|
||||
status: wait
|
||||
priority: medium
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "906009be-5670-428a-b6d1-2700c67e9c65"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Calculate economic reality.
|
||||
|
||||
**Deliverables:**
|
||||
|
||||
- Fixed cost allocation (Bubble.io, domains, infrastructure)
|
||||
- Variable cost allocation (Stripe fees, OpenRouter costs)
|
||||
- CostFloor, contribution margin, cost per member calculations
|
||||
|
||||
**Output:** CostFloor Report.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 6 — Pricing Simulator
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T06
|
||||
status: wait
|
||||
priority: medium
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "cb735e7d-72ac-41df-97d4-e0133cb4bb84"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Evaluate pricing scenarios.
|
||||
|
||||
**Example scenarios:**
|
||||
|
||||
- Current: €8.99/month, unlimited access
|
||||
- Membership + credits: €8.99/month with included AI allowance
|
||||
- Membership + overage: €8.99/month with included credits and usage-based overage
|
||||
- Lower subscription: lower base fee with higher usage fees
|
||||
|
||||
**Output:** Pricing Explorer.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 7 — Membership Credit System
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T07
|
||||
status: wait
|
||||
priority: medium
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "aa8efb52-dbd8-4309-a15d-ea04d80c57f6"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Introduce AI credit accounting without billing.
|
||||
|
||||
**Deliverables:** credit wallet, monthly allowance, usage tracking, remaining
|
||||
balance tracking.
|
||||
|
||||
**Output:** Member Usage Dashboard.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 8 — Adaptive Pricing Prototype
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T08
|
||||
status: wait
|
||||
priority: low
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "d8195bf0-5b0d-4fbd-9776-0b619097c64f"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Implement first pricing optimization logic.
|
||||
|
||||
**Deliverables:** pricing parameter model, constraint model, seller economics
|
||||
model, comparable customer LTV prototype, pricing recommendation engine.
|
||||
|
||||
**Output:** Adaptive Pricing Prototype v1.
|
||||
Loading…
Add table
Add a link
Reference in a new issue