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Implement ASSEMBLY-WP-0004: GADM-0.2 model, simulation, scenarios, sensitivity - models/GADM-CLD.md: causal-loop diagram, loops, 49 signed links - models/GADM-0.2.md: organism extensions (K split, attention headroom, selection channel O, membrane/lineage levers, participation claims), equations, findings - simulations/gadm02: stdlib simulation, scenario runner, OAT sensitivity, unit tests; results committed - scenarios/: six GADM-0.1 regimes + baseline + two organism-axis variants - metrics/MetricsCatalog.md, models/GADM-0.3-Candidates.md, references/LiteratureComparison.md - ASSEMBLY-WP-0005 (proposed, residual): GADM-0.3 Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
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# Simulations
Runnable implementations of the models in `models/`. Each simulation names the
model version it implements.
| Directory | Model | Entry points |
|-----------|-------|--------------|
ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T01: time unit and global sensitivity analysis - One period = one year; implied timescales documented - simulations/gadm02/gsa.py: Morris screening + Sobol indices (S1 Saltelli 2010 centred, ST Jansen) with bootstrap CIs - GADM-0.2 readings updated: model nearly additive within ±50 %; the 'reuse as a bundle' interaction reading is refuted; organism governance levers confirmed globally; dO flagged as calibration priority Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
2026-10-12 01:37:35 +02:00
| `gadm02/` | GADM-0.2 (`models/GADM-0.2.md`) | `run_scenarios.py`, `sensitivity.py`, `gsa.py`, `test_gadm02.py` |
ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T06: life-cycle cohorts; finish WP-0005; add WP-0006 - gadm03c.py: four cohorts with demography, cohort capability, mentoring, care load on attention; stationary at replacement fertility (tested) - life_cycle.py: L1 supported after fixing an inert mentoring term; L2 conditional on who carries care per person, care relief via participation claims protects carers' attention; L3 not supported (H lacks a durable component) - GADM-0.3.md complete; ASSEMBLY-WP-0006 (GADM-0.4, proposed residual) Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
2026-10-12 07:38:22 +02:00
| `gadm02/gadm03.py` | GADM-0.3: power channels, wealth, attention (`models/GADM-0.3.md`) | `power_channels.py`, `wealth.py`, `organism_grid.py`, `test_gadm03.py` |
| `gadm02/gadm03c.py` | GADM-0.3 with life-cycle cohorts (`models/GADM-0.3.md` § 5) | `life_cycle.py`, `test_gadm03c.py` |
ASSEMBLY-WP-0008: empirical grounding of key GADM parameters - Research on organism adoption, commons, power persistence, lobbying, human-capital persistence, age gaps and care load - grounding.py: grounded parameter sets (central / slow adoption) with own equilibrium start and recalibrated channels; tested - grounded_readings.py: all structural readings survive grounding; default adopts organisms too fast; governance stakes rise with adoption speed; care load overstated ~4x (joint recalibration of attention extraction) - ParameterGrounding.md v0.2: register with statuses, evidence, mappings, validation/falsification tests for ASSEMBLY-WP-0007 - GADM-0.4 model version finalised Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
2026-10-12 09:45:19 +02:00
| `gadm02/gadm04.py` | GADM-0.4: durable capability, grounded dO, equilibrium start, cohort agency (`models/GADM-0.4.md`) | `life_cycle.py --model gadm04`, `robustness.py`, `agency.py`, `grounded_readings.py`, `test_gadm04.py` |
ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T03: sentiment and legitimacy loop in GADM-0.4 (opt-in); legitimacy.py; AdoptionBand § 3; BR-005 Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 14913@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: add7ef69-b901-4756-9a67-34cf1125d96f
2026-10-13 14:17:21 +02:00
| `gadm02/grounding.py` | evidence-grounded parameter sets and adoption band B1–B4 (`models/ParameterGrounding.md`, `models/AdoptionBand.md`) | `variant("slow" \| "central" \| "fast" \| "aggressive")`, `band_probe.py`, `legitimacy.py` |
Implement ASSEMBLY-WP-0004: GADM-0.2 model, simulation, scenarios, sensitivity - models/GADM-CLD.md: causal-loop diagram, loops, 49 signed links - models/GADM-0.2.md: organism extensions (K split, attention headroom, selection channel O, membrane/lineage levers, participation claims), equations, findings - simulations/gadm02: stdlib simulation, scenario runner, OAT sensitivity, unit tests; results committed - scenarios/: six GADM-0.1 regimes + baseline + two organism-axis variants - metrics/MetricsCatalog.md, models/GADM-0.3-Candidates.md, references/LiteratureComparison.md - ASSEMBLY-WP-0005 (proposed, residual): GADM-0.3 Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
2026-10-12 00:43:53 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T03: power channels as sub-stocks (GADM-0.3) - simulations/gadm02/gadm03.py: six domination channels with drivers, counters and increasing returns; geometric aggregation; equilibrium calibration with stability guard (unit-tested) - power_channels.py: P1 mostly unsupported over 100 years, except lineage hysteresis under the generative regime (lock-in above ~0.3) and market path dependence at baseline; P2 supported (critical lineage diffusion rises with learning amplification) - models/GADM-0.3.md; metrics catalog requires channel-level reporting Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
2026-10-12 06:39:24 +02:00
Python 3.10+, standard library only. Use `python3 -B` after quick edits: a stale
bytecode cache can mask same-size changes made within the same second.
Implement ASSEMBLY-WP-0004: GADM-0.2 model, simulation, scenarios, sensitivity - models/GADM-CLD.md: causal-loop diagram, loops, 49 signed links - models/GADM-0.2.md: organism extensions (K split, attention headroom, selection channel O, membrane/lineage levers, participation claims), equations, findings - simulations/gadm02: stdlib simulation, scenario runner, OAT sensitivity, unit tests; results committed - scenarios/: six GADM-0.1 regimes + baseline + two organism-axis variants - metrics/MetricsCatalog.md, models/GADM-0.3-Candidates.md, references/LiteratureComparison.md - ASSEMBLY-WP-0005 (proposed, residual): GADM-0.3 Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
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```bash
python3 -m unittest discover -s simulations/gadm02 # tests
cd simulations/gadm02 && python3 run_scenarios.py # → results/summary.md + CSVs
cd simulations/gadm02 && python3 sensitivity.py # → results/sensitivity.md
ASSEMBLY-WP-0006-T03: global sensitivity on GADM-0.4 - gsa.py: any model (--model), parallel (--jobs), channel counters recalibrated per sample; reproduces the GADM-0.2 analysis exactly - GADM-0.4: additive at baseline, but governance levers (m, L, r_lin) interact strongly in the generative regime; commons investment now the top baseline driver; organism capability level confirmed as top uncertainty; explainability gains weight via power channels Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
2026-10-12 08:45:06 +02:00
cd simulations/gadm02 && python3 -B gsa.py --jobs 8 # → results/gsa.md (--model gadm04 → gsa_gadm04.md; --quick)
Implement ASSEMBLY-WP-0004: GADM-0.2 model, simulation, scenarios, sensitivity - models/GADM-CLD.md: causal-loop diagram, loops, 49 signed links - models/GADM-0.2.md: organism extensions (K split, attention headroom, selection channel O, membrane/lineage levers, participation claims), equations, findings - simulations/gadm02: stdlib simulation, scenario runner, OAT sensitivity, unit tests; results committed - scenarios/: six GADM-0.1 regimes + baseline + two organism-axis variants - metrics/MetricsCatalog.md, models/GADM-0.3-Candidates.md, references/LiteratureComparison.md - ASSEMBLY-WP-0005 (proposed, residual): GADM-0.3 Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
2026-10-12 00:43:53 +02:00
```
Results under `results/` are committed so that model documents can cite them.
Regenerate them after any change to the model or the scenarios.
Reference in a new issue Copy permalink