diff --git a/.custodian-brief.md b/.custodian-brief.md index eb5f0a2..35efb91 100644 --- a/.custodian-brief.md +++ b/.custodian-brief.md @@ -2,12 +2,20 @@ # Custodian Brief — assembly-economics **Domain:** communication -**Last synced:** 2026-10-11 22:36 UTC +**Last synced:** 2026-10-11 23:37 UTC **State Hub:** http://127.0.0.1:8000 *(adjust if running on a remote machine)* ## Active Workstreams -*(none — repo may need first-session setup)* +### GADM-0.3: global sensitivity, power channels, cohorts +Progress: 1/6 done | workplan_id: `23e33ee7-cb27-52bc-819c-704f44f91663` + +**Open tasks:** +- · Verify the literature comparison `5c77c522` +- · Power channels as sub-stocks `274ce388` +- · Separate wealth from power `99e702d7` +- · Strengthen attention dynamics and the full organism grid `f56e20b4` +- · Life-cycle cohorts `2b749127` ## Inbox Hygiene diff --git a/WORK-RECORDS.md b/WORK-RECORDS.md index 0e3561b..ecc5022 100644 --- a/WORK-RECORDS.md +++ b/WORK-RECORDS.md @@ -12,7 +12,7 @@ | workplan | ASSEMBLY-WP-0002 | finished | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0002-concept-promotion.md | | workplan | ASSEMBLY-WP-0003 | finished | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0003-seed-integration.md | | workplan | ASSEMBLY-WP-0004 | finished | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-gadm-0.2-modeling.md | -| workplan | ASSEMBLY-WP-0005 | proposed | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md | +| workplan | ASSEMBLY-WP-0005 | active | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md | | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0001-T01 | done | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0001-statehub-bootstrap.md | | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0001-T02 | done | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0001-statehub-bootstrap.md | | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0001-T03 | done | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0001-statehub-bootstrap.md | @@ -40,7 +40,7 @@ | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-T07 | done | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-gadm-0.2-modeling.md | | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-T08 | done | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-gadm-0.2-modeling.md | | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-T09 | done | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-gadm-0.2-modeling.md | -| task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T01 | todo | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md | +| task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T01 | done | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md | | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T02 | todo | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md | | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T03 | todo | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md | | task | ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T04 | todo | — | workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md | diff --git a/references/LiteratureComparison.md b/references/LiteratureComparison.md index 7109868..0b15835 100644 --- a/references/LiteratureComparison.md +++ b/references/LiteratureComparison.md @@ -1,14 +1,14 @@ # Literature Comparison v0.1 -**Status:** first orientation map. **Bibliographic details are unverified.** -Check each entry against the original before citing it. +**Status:** orientation map v0.2. Bibliographic details verified by web +search (§ 9). The content summaries are still the author's reading, and must be +checked against the texts before they are relied on. Purpose: place the Generative Assembly Society framework, GADM and the information-organism lens relative to existing work, so that the project @@ -24,54 +24,62 @@ borrow. | Work | Overlap | Difference | Borrow | |---|---|---|---| -| **Assembly Theory** (L. Cronin, S. I. Walker and colleagues; e.g. Sharma et al., *Nature* 2023) | Objects as assemblies built from reusable components; selection as the source of complex objects | A physical and chemical theory with a measurable assembly index. INTENT.md explicitly does not require accepting it. | The idea of quantifying "assembly depth" as a reuse measure for X | -| **The adjacent possible** (S. Kauffman, *Investigations*, 2000) | Future combinations reachable from current components ≈ viable future assembly space | Biological and theoretical, not institutional | Vocabulary for reachable futures; combinatorial growth arguments | -| **Technology as combination** (W. B. Arthur, *The Nature of Technology*, 2009) | Technologies built from existing technologies; recursive composition | Descriptive history of technology, no institutional model | Evidence for R1 (generative reuse) | -| **Economic complexity** (C. Hidalgo & R. Hausmann, e.g. *PNAS* 2009; *The Atlas of Economic Complexity*) | Capabilities as recombinable building blocks; diversity × ubiquity | Measures national capability structures from trade data | Empirical proxies for N and X | +| **Assembly Theory** (A. Sharma, D. Czégel, M. Lachmann, C. P. Kempes, S. I. Walker, L. Cronin, "Assembly theory explains and quantifies selection and evolution", *Nature* 622: 321–328, 2023, doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06600-9) | Objects as assemblies built from reusable components; selection as the source of complex objects | A physical and chemical theory with a measurable assembly index. INTENT.md explicitly does not require accepting it. | The idea of quantifying "assembly depth" as a reuse measure for X | +| **The adjacent possible** (S. A. Kauffman, *Investigations*, Oxford University Press, 2000) | Future combinations reachable from current components ≈ viable future assembly space | Biological and theoretical, not institutional | Vocabulary for reachable futures; combinatorial growth arguments | +| **Technology as combination** (W. B. Arthur, *The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves*, Free Press, 2009; UK: Allen Lane) | Technologies built from existing technologies; recursive composition | Descriptive history of technology, no institutional model | Evidence for R1 (generative reuse) | +| **Economic complexity** (C. A. Hidalgo & R. Hausmann, "The building blocks of economic complexity", *PNAS* 106(26): 10570–10575, 2009) | Capabilities as recombinable building blocks; diversity × ubiquity | Measures national capability structures from trade data | Empirical proxies for N and X | ## 2. Agency, capability and freedom | Work | Overlap | Difference | Borrow | |---|---|---|---| -| **Capability approach** (A. Sen, *Development as Freedom*, 1999; M. Nussbaum) | Effective agency as reachable functionings, not formal liberty | Normative development framework, no dynamic model | Operationalization of G; lists of central capabilities | -| **Real freedom / basic income** (P. Van Parijs, *Real Freedom for All*, 1995) | Existence principle; participation decoupled from labor | Focused on income; does not model domination or commons | Arguments for D_s and the Existence principle | -| **Republican non-domination** (P. Pettit, *Republicanism*, 1997) | Domination as capacity for arbitrary interference, separate from wealth | Political philosophy | Conceptual grounding for modeling P separately from wealth | +| **Capability approach** (A. Sen, *Development as Freedom*, Knopf, 1999; M. Nussbaum, no specific work cited yet) | Effective agency as reachable functionings, not formal liberty | Normative development framework, no dynamic model | Operationalization of G; lists of central capabilities | +| **Real freedom / basic income** (P. Van Parijs, *Real Freedom for All: What (if Anything) Can Justify Capitalism?*, Clarendon Press / Oxford University Press, 1995) | Existence principle; participation decoupled from labor | Focused on income; does not model domination or commons | Arguments for D_s and the Existence principle | +| **Republican non-domination** (P. Pettit, *Republicanism: A Theory of Freedom and Government*, Clarendon Press / Oxford University Press, 1997) | Domination as capacity for arbitrary interference, separate from wealth | Political philosophy | Conceptual grounding for modeling P separately from wealth | ## 3. Commons, institutions and power | Work | Overlap | Difference | Borrow | |---|---|---|---| -| **Governing the commons** (E. Ostrom, 1990) | Commons as institutions; polycentric governance | Natural-resource commons. Assembly commons are mostly non-rival. | Design principles for commons governance (WS-06, WS-11) | -| **Commons-based peer production** (Y. Benkler, *The Wealth of Networks*, 2006) | Non-rival knowledge commons; open source | Network economy, pre-AI | Evidence for ρ and I_X mechanisms | -| **Inclusive vs. extractive institutions** (D. Acemoglu & J. Robinson, *Why Nations Fail*, 2012) | Institutional configurations determine whether success broadens or closes access | Historical, macro-institutional | Framing for the R3 / B1 loop (success becomes control) | -| **Capital concentration** (T. Piketty, *Capital in the Twenty-First Century*, 2014) | Concentration of returns when r > g | Wealth-focused | Data and dynamics for W_c in the GADM-0.3 power extension | -| **Entrepreneurial state** (M. Mazzucato, 2013) | Public risk-bearing in innovation | Focused on the state | Evidence for public risk pools (F) | +| **Governing the commons** (E. Ostrom, *Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action*, Cambridge University Press, 1990) | Commons as institutions; polycentric governance | Natural-resource commons. Assembly commons are mostly non-rival. | Design principles for commons governance (WS-06, WS-11) | +| **Commons-based peer production** (Y. Benkler, *The Wealth of Networks: How Social Production Transforms Markets and Freedom*, Yale University Press, 2006) | Non-rival knowledge commons; open source | Network economy, pre-AI | Evidence for ρ and I_X mechanisms | +| **Inclusive vs. extractive institutions** (D. Acemoglu & J. A. Robinson, *Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty*, Crown, 2012) | Institutional configurations determine whether success broadens or closes access | Historical, macro-institutional | Framing for the R3 / B1 loop (success becomes control) | +| **Capital concentration** (T. Piketty, *Capital in the Twenty-First Century*, trans. A. Goldhammer, Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2014; French original Seuil, 2013) | Concentration of returns when r > g | Wealth-focused | Data and dynamics for W_c in the GADM-0.3 power extension | +| **Entrepreneurial state** (M. Mazzucato, *The Entrepreneurial State: Debunking Public vs. Private Sector Myths*, Anthem Press, 2013) | Public risk-bearing in innovation | Focused on the state | Evidence for public risk pools (F) | ## 4. Automation and distribution | Work | Overlap | Difference | Borrow | |---|---|---|---| -| **Task-based automation** (D. Acemoglu & P. Restrepo, e.g. "Automation and New Tasks", *Journal of Economic Perspectives*, 2019) | Automation displaces tasks, new tasks reinstate labor | Labor-market focus, assumes wage-based participation | Labor share dynamics for w_L | -| **AI and income distribution** (A. Korinek & J. Stiglitz, NBER working paper, 2017) | Redistribution needs when automation concentrates returns | Standard welfare economics | Distribution regimes for claims I | +| **Task-based automation** (D. Acemoglu & P. Restrepo, "Automation and New Tasks: How Technology Displaces and Reinstates Labor", *Journal of Economic Perspectives* 33(2): 3–30, 2019, doi:10.1257/jep.33.2.3) | Automation displaces tasks, new tasks reinstate labor | Labor-market focus, assumes wage-based participation | Labor share dynamics for w_L | +| **AI and economic growth** (P. Aghion, B. F. Jones & C. I. Jones, "Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth", NBER Working Paper 23928, 2017) | AI as the latest stage of automation, with capital taking over a growing range of tasks; growth limited by essential tasks that are hard to improve (Baumol) | Growth and factor shares; no domination, commons or attention | Bottleneck logic for which stocks constrain V and Y* | +| **AI and income distribution** (A. Korinek & J. E. Stiglitz, "Artificial Intelligence and Its Implications for Income Distribution and Unemployment", NBER Working Paper 24174, 2017; chapter in Agrawal, Gans & Goldfarb (eds.), *The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda*) | Redistribution needs when automation concentrates returns | Standard welfare economics | Distribution regimes for claims I | + +### 4.1 AI as self-improving capital (prior art for § 7, claim 2) + +| Work | Overlap | Difference | Borrow | +|---|---|---|---| +| **Transformative-AI growth** (P. Trammell & A. Korinek, "Economic Growth under Transformative AI", CEPR Discussion Paper DP18780; SSRN 4616883) | AI lets capital "self-replicate" (raise output) and "self-improve" (raise knowledge production): close to K_Ω's learning with use | Growth-theoretic; ownership, membranes, lineage governance and agency are outside the model | Formal treatment of self-improving capital, a check on R7 | +| **Automating AI research** (T. Davidson, B. Halperin, T. Houlden & A. Korinek, "When Does Automating AI Research Produce Explosive Growth?", NBER Working Paper 35155) | Semi-endogenous growth with AI automation, where capital accumulation and technical progress reinforce each other | Focus on explosive growth; no distribution or power channels | Conditions under which R7 becomes explosive, relevant to the natural-monopoly question | ## 5. Systems, cybernetics and viability | Work | Overlap | Difference | Borrow | |---|---|---|---| -| **System dynamics** (J. Forrester, *Industrial Dynamics*, 1961; D. Meadows et al., *The Limits to Growth*, 1972) | Stock-and-flow modeling, feedback loops | GADM is a direct descendant in method | Method: causal-loop diagrams, stock-flow conventions, validation practice | -| **Requisite variety** (W. R. Ashby, *An Introduction to Cybernetics*, 1956) | A regulator needs as much variety as what it regulates; the membrane as variety filter | Abstract cybernetics | Theoretical basis for membrane design | -| **Viable System Model** (S. Beer, *Brain of the Firm*, 1972) | Viability, recursion, regulation of organizations | Organizational cybernetics, not learning systems | Recursion and viability vocabulary for the AIPN and the organism lens | -| **Resilience and panarchy** (C. S. Holling; L. Gunderson & C. S. Holling, *Panarchy*, 2002) | Adaptive cycles, release and reorganization ≈ disassemble/reassemble | Ecological systems | Adaptive-cycle framing for transition dynamics (WS-12) | -| **Planetary boundaries** (J. Rockström et al., *Nature*, 2009) | Non-tradeable ecological floors | Earth-system science | Grounding for the E floor | -| **Doughnut economics** (K. Raworth, 2017) | Social floor plus ecological ceiling as a viability corridor | No dynamic model of generativity | Corridor framing for constitutional constraints | +| **System dynamics** (J. W. Forrester, *Industrial Dynamics*, MIT Press, 1961; D. H. Meadows, D. L. Meadows, J. Randers & W. W. Behrens III, *The Limits to Growth*, 1972, a Club of Rome report built on the World3 model) | Stock-and-flow modeling, feedback loops | GADM is a direct descendant in method | Method: causal-loop diagrams, stock-flow conventions, validation practice | +| **Requisite variety** (W. R. Ashby, *An Introduction to Cybernetics*, Chapman & Hall, 1956) | A regulator needs as much variety as what it regulates; the membrane as variety filter | Abstract cybernetics | Theoretical basis for membrane design | +| **Viable System Model** (S. Beer, *Brain of the Firm*, Allen Lane, 1972; 2nd ed. Wiley, 1981) | Viability, recursion, regulation of organizations | Organizational cybernetics, not learning systems | Recursion and viability vocabulary for the AIPN and the organism lens | +| **Resilience and panarchy** (L. H. Gunderson & C. S. Holling (eds.), *Panarchy: Understanding Transformations in Human and Natural Systems*, Island Press, 2002) | Adaptive cycles, release and reorganization ≈ disassemble/reassemble | Ecological systems | Adaptive-cycle framing for transition dynamics (WS-12) | +| **Planetary boundaries** (J. Rockström et al., "A safe operating space for humanity", *Nature* 461: 472–475, 2009, doi:10.1038/461472a; full version in *Ecology and Society* 14(2): 32, 2009) | Non-tradeable ecological floors | Earth-system science | Grounding for the E floor | +| **Doughnut economics** (K. Raworth, *Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist*, Chelsea Green, 2017; UK: Random House Business) | Social floor plus ecological ceiling as a viability corridor | No dynamic model of generativity | Corridor framing for constitutional constraints | ## 6. Attention | Work | Overlap | Difference | Borrow | |---|---|---|---| -| **H. A. Simon**, "Designing Organizations for an Information-Rich World" (1971) | "A wealth of information creates a poverty of attention" | Organizational design | Founding statement of attention as the scarce resource | -| **Attention economy** (T. Davenport & J. Beck, *The Attention Economy*, 2001) | Attention as an economic resource | Managerial, treats attention as something to capture | Contrast case for x_att | -| **Surveillance capitalism** (S. Zuboff, 2019) | Extraction-funded attention, discovery concentration | Critical, not modeled | Scenario grounding for the attention-oligopoly regime | +| **H. A. Simon**, "Designing Organizations for an Information-Rich World", in M. Greenberger (ed.), *Computers, Communications, and the Public Interest*, Johns Hopkins Press, 1971 | "A wealth of information creates a poverty of attention" | Organizational design | Founding statement of attention as the scarce resource | +| **Attention economy** (T. H. Davenport & J. C. Beck, *The Attention Economy: Understanding the New Currency of Business*, Harvard Business School Press, 2001) | Attention as an economic resource | Managerial, treats attention as something to capture | Contrast case for x_att | +| **Surveillance capitalism** (S. Zuboff, *The Age of Surveillance Capitalism: The Fight for a Human Future at the New Frontier of Power*, PublicAffairs, 2019) | Extraction-funded attention, discovery concentration | Critical, not modeled | Scenario grounding for the attention-oligopoly regime | | **Goodhart's law / Campbell's law** | Metric gaming | — | Basis for the metrics catalog's Goodhart risks | --- @@ -83,10 +91,12 @@ To be confirmed by an actual literature search: 1. **Generativity as the objective.** Using *viable future assembly space* (rather than welfare, output or capability sets alone) as the target of institutional design. -2. **Information organisms as a distinct capital class**, with learning - with use, lineage inheritance, membranes and metabolism, coupled into a - macro model. Related work treats AI as automation capital or as a labor - substitute. +2. **Information organisms as a governed capital class.** *Revised after + T02:* self-improving AI capital is established in growth theory (§ 4.1), + so learning with use is not new. What appears new is coupling it to + **lineage inheritance, membranes and their ownership**, and feeding those + into domination, agency and commons stocks rather than only into output + and factor shares. 3. **Membrane and lineage control as domination channels**, separate from wealth. 4. **Attention headroom as a stock inside a macro diagnostic**, with an @@ -94,9 +104,47 @@ To be confirmed by an actual literature search: ## 8. Next steps -- Run a real literature search (WS-01, WS-07, WS-14 priorities) and verify - the bibliographic details above. -- Look specifically for prior macro models that treat AI systems as - learning, inheritable capital; any such work would affect claim 2. +- Read the § 4.1 papers in full, and check whether any of them model + ownership concentration of AI capital (this would narrow claim 2 further). +- Run a topical literature search for WS-01, WS-07 and WS-14 (assembly + ontology, power, attention) beyond this orientation map. - Review system-dynamics validation practice (e.g. structure-verification and extreme-condition tests) and apply it to GADM-0.2. + +## 9. Verification log + +Verified 2026-10-12 by web search (catalogue records, publisher or journal +pages). ✓ = author, title, venue and year confirmed. ◐ = partly confirmed. +— = nothing specific to verify. + +| Entry | Status | Note | +|---|---|---| +| Sharma et al. 2023 (Assembly theory) | ✓ | *Nature* 622: 321–328 | +| Kauffman 2000 | ✓ | | +| Arthur 2009 | ✓ | Free Press (US), Allen Lane (UK) | +| Hidalgo & Hausmann 2009 | ✓ | *PNAS* 106(26) | +| Sen 1999 | ✓ | Knopf (US); Oxford edition also exists | +| Nussbaum | — | no specific work cited | +| Van Parijs 1995 | ✓ | | +| Pettit 1997 | ✓ | | +| Ostrom 1990 | ✓ | | +| Benkler 2006 | ✓ | | +| Acemoglu & Robinson 2012 | ✓ | | +| Piketty 2014 | ✓ | English translation; French original 2013 | +| Mazzucato 2013 | ✓ | | +| Acemoglu & Restrepo 2019 | ✓ | *JEP* 33(2): 3–30 | +| Korinek & Stiglitz 2017 | ✓ | NBER WP 24174 | +| Aghion, Jones & Jones 2017 | ✓ | added in T02 | +| Trammell & Korinek | ✓ | added in T02; CEPR DP18780 | +| Davidson, Halperin, Houlden & Korinek | ✓ | added in T02; NBER WP 35155 | +| Forrester 1961 | ✓ | MIT Press | +| Meadows et al. 1972 | ✓ | | +| Ashby 1956 | ✓ | Chapman & Hall | +| Beer 1972 | ◐ | year and later Wiley edition confirmed; first-edition publisher from a secondary listing (Allen Lane) | +| Gunderson & Holling 2002 | ✓ | Island Press; some listings date it 2001 | +| Rockström et al. 2009 | ✓ | *Nature* 461: 472–475 | +| Raworth 2017 | ✓ | | +| Simon 1971 | ✓ | in Greenberger (ed.) | +| Davenport & Beck 2001 | ✓ | | +| Zuboff 2019 | ✓ | | +| Goodhart / Campbell | — | cited as named laws only | diff --git a/workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md b/workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md index 088c133..52392ba 100644 --- a/workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md +++ b/workplans/ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md @@ -39,7 +39,7 @@ the "reuse as a bundle" interaction. ```task id: ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T02 -status: todo +status: done priority: high state_hub_task_id: "5c77c522-9aa8-5bde-9e7f-c0a5cf51a3f5" ```