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Author SHA1 Message Date
tegwick
dc4e3adc99 Close loose ends: WP-0018 finished (T04 capture link tested, T05 reference-model decision), WP-0016 finished (J4 from China data), WP-0014 blocked (owner declaration + grant v2 confirmed; waits on rein-aharness publisher and 2027), WP-0015 blocked (EU Pm measured, noise calibrated; AR data and Q4 2026 data pending); Calibration v0.6 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-14 02:31:02 +02:00
tegwick
945b28e6ab ASSEMBLY-WP-0017 finished: IMM filter on observed US data (B3 through mid-2026, B3→B4 flip candidate Q3 2026, not confirmed), robustness, checkpoint pointer; residual to WP-0015-T07 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

Assistant: claude-code
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 2026-10-13 22:41:08 +02:00
tegwick
0ccf4f7cf7 ASSEMBLY-WP-0017-T04 passed: flips judged on anchor weights (6/6 switches in 0.5 y, 0 false flips); reliance on investment documented; T06 AI-specific investment series 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

Assistant: claude-code
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 2026-10-13 22:07:26 +02:00
tegwick
0f6ef9fb3b ASSEMBLY-WP-0017 T02/T03 done, T04 in progress: IMM multi-indicator regime filter (0 false flips, accelerations detected in 1-1.5 y, slowdowns only after 2.5-3.75 y); observed investment and discovery series 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

Assistant: claude-code
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 2026-10-13 21:35:28 +02:00
tegwick
65584be429 ASSEMBLY-WP-0017-T01: sentiment reference sig_ref (BR-009 resolved); calibrated pipeline re-run; matching loop weights ≈ 0.5 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

Assistant: claude-code
Assistant-Model: opus
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 2026-10-13 21:14:14 +02:00
tegwick
597eb4176e ASSEMBLY-WP-0012 finished: model matching (matching.py, observed series), flip definition and regime filter, synthetic test (negative: flips not yet reliable), FlipRegister, BR-009; residuals to WP-0017 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

Assistant: claude-code
Assistant-Model: opus
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Assistant-Session: add7ef69-b901-4756-9a67-34cf1125d96f
 2026-10-13 20:33:38 +02:00