clay-borg/games/ground/examples/h2-panel.rs

//! **H2 measured against ground-game's own criteria** (CB-WP-0042 T05).
//!
//! Their §3 targets, not H1's reused from memory:
//!
//! 1. group success (greedy SHARED, 3–4p) well above H1's 0
//! 2. Stress **variance** — max−min across seats — higher than baseline
//!    and H1-greedy
//! 3. DARVO non-zero **for some policy that still sometimes wins**
//! 4. bond cards show an elevated SOLVE rate versus personal
//! 5. control: force every scope global and H1-like collapse returns
//!
//! **Criterion 4 is the one this instrument probably cannot answer**, and
//! that is said up front rather than discovered in the numbers: no policy
//! here models another seat, or knows what a scope is. If bond and
//! personal rates come out equal it is because nothing in the panel could
//! have made them differ — not because the incentive fails at a table.

use std::collections::BTreeMap;

use cb_game_runtime::{ScenarioGame, Setup};
use cb_kernel::PlayerId;
use games_ground::bot::{play, Choice, GreedyPolicy, Policy};
use games_ground::edition::StressScope;
use games_ground::{Action, GroundCommand, GroundState, ScoringMode, Variant};

const GAMES: u32 = 200;

/// Greedy with GROUND demoted below ATTACK — the unregulated seat from
/// CB-EV-0031, delegating so exactly one preference differs.
struct Reactive;

impl Policy for Reactive {
    fn name(&self) -> &'static str {
        "reactive"
    }
    fn choose(
        &mut self,
        state: &GroundState,
        seat: PlayerId,
        legal: &[GroundCommand],
        _may_pass: bool,
    ) -> Choice {
        let gated = state
            .players
            .get(&seat)
            .is_some_and(|p| p.stress >= 4 && !p.freedom_gate_lifted);
        let rank = |c: &GroundCommand| -> i32 {
            match c {
                GroundCommand::SelectAction {
                    action: Action::Ground,
                    ..
                } if gated => 5,
                other => GreedyPolicy::rank(state, seat, other),
            }
        };
        let mut best = 0;
        for (i, c) in legal.iter().enumerate() {
            if rank(c) > rank(&legal[best]) {
                best = i;
            }
        }
        Choice::Command(best)
    }
}

#[derive(Default)]
struct Cell {
    games: u32,
    played: u32,
    won: u32,
    darvo: u32,
    /// Summed max−min final Stress, for criterion 2.
    spread: u32,
    /// Claimed / total, by scope, for criterion 4.
    claimed: BTreeMap<&'static str, (u32, u32)>,
}

fn sweep(variant: Variant, players: u8, reactive: bool, force_global: bool) -> Cell {
    let mut c = Cell::default();
    for seed in 0..GAMES as u64 {
        let Ok(st) = GroundState::setup(
            &Setup {
                players,
                preset: format!("standard-{players}p"),
                patch: Default::default(),
            },
            seed,
        ) else {
            continue;
        };
        let mut st = st.with_variant(variant);
        st.mode = ScoringMode::SharedGround;
        // Criterion 5's control: every scope forced global.
        if force_global {
            for p in st.problems.values_mut() {
                if p.scope.is_some() {
                    p.scope = Some(StressScope::Global);
                    p.owner = None;
                }
            }
        }
        let mut ps: Vec<Box<dyn Policy>> = (0..players)
            .map(|_| {
                if reactive {
                    Box::new(Reactive) as Box<dyn Policy>
                } else {
                    Box::new(GreedyPolicy) as Box<dyn Policy>
                }
            })
            .collect();
        let Ok(g) = play(st, &mut ps) else { continue };
        c.games += 1;
        if g.state.outcome.is_some() && g.rounds == 5 {
            c.played += 1;
        }
        if g.state.outcome.as_ref().is_some_and(|o| o.group_success) {
            c.won += 1;
        }
        for e in &g.events {
            if matches!(e, games_ground::GroundEvent::DarvoTriggered { .. }) {
                c.darvo += 1;
            }
        }
        let stresses: Vec<u8> = g.state.players.values().map(|p| p.stress).collect();
        let (lo, hi) = (
            stresses.iter().copied().min().unwrap_or(0),
            stresses.iter().copied().max().unwrap_or(0),
        );
        c.spread += u32::from(hi - lo);
        for p in g.state.problems.values() {
            let name = match p.scope {
                Some(StressScope::Global) => "global",
                Some(StressScope::Personal) => "personal",
                Some(StressScope::Bond) => "bond",
                None => continue,
            };
            let e = c.claimed.entry(name).or_default();
            e.1 += 1;
            if p.claimed_by.is_some() {
                e.0 += 1;
            }
        }
    }
    assert_eq!(c.games, GAMES, "{players}p {variant:?}: short cell");
    assert_eq!(
        c.played, GAMES,
        "{players}p {variant:?}: games did not finish"
    );
    c
}

fn main() {
    println!("H2 — against ground-game's §3 criteria (CB-WP-0042 T05)\n");
    println!("SHARED GROUND, {GAMES} games per cell. `spread` is the mean");
    println!("max−min final Stress across seats — their criterion 2.\n");

    for (label, reactive) in [("greedy", false), ("reactive", true)] {
        println!("{label}");
        println!("seats  variant      won  darvo  spread");
        for players in [2u8, 3, 4, 6] {
            for (vname, v) in [
                ("baseline", Variant::Baseline),
                ("H1      ", Variant::H1ProblemStress),
                ("H2      ", Variant::H2ScopedProblemStress),
            ] {
                let c = sweep(v, players, reactive, false);
                println!(
                    "  {players}p   {vname}  {:>4}  {:>5}   {:>5.2}",
                    c.won,
                    c.darvo,
                    f64::from(c.spread) / f64::from(GAMES)
                );
            }
        }
        println!();
    }

    println!("criterion 4 — claim rate by scope (H2, greedy)");
    println!("seats  global   personal   bond");
    for players in [2u8, 3, 4, 6] {
        let c = sweep(Variant::H2ScopedProblemStress, players, false, false);
        let rate = |k: &str| match c.claimed.get(k) {
            Some((a, b)) if *b > 0 => format!("{:>6.1}%", 100.0 * f64::from(*a) / f64::from(*b)),
            _ => "     —".to_string(),
        };
        println!(
            "  {players}p  {}    {}   {}",
            rate("global"),
            rate("personal"),
            rate("bond")
        );
    }

    println!("\ncriterion 5 — control: every scope forced global (H2, greedy)");
    println!("seats   won (scoped)   won (all global)");
    for players in [3u8, 4] {
        let scoped = sweep(Variant::H2ScopedProblemStress, players, false, false);
        let global = sweep(Variant::H2ScopedProblemStress, players, false, true);
        println!(
            "  {players}p        {:>4}              {:>4}",
            scoped.won, global.won
        );
    }
}