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Audit prospective comparison readiness and retain effort gaps

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@ -59,62 +59,78 @@ Ten selected retrospective outcomes (not a historical census), followed by prosp
Cycles with recorded research effort: 7/18. Unknown effort is neither zero nor estimated from commits, tokens or assertion counts.
### Comparison readiness
Declared groups require a review of shared evidence tier, question granularity, evaluation and effort accounting. A matching label is not proof of comparability. [Machine-readable window audit](../../research/evolution/ComparisonWindows.json).
| Stream / declared group | Cycles | Positive effort | Unknown / zero effort | Qualitative review trigger | Complete-window effort comparison |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | --- | --- |
| B / B-independent-navigation-source-v1 | 2 | 1 | 1 / 0 | pending | not ready |
| B / B-navigation-mechanism-v1 | 1 | 1 | 0 / 0 | pending | not ready |
| D / D-sqlite-git-recovery-v1 | 1 | 1 | 0 / 0 | pending | not ready |
| F / F-navigation-focus-v1 | 1 | 1 | 0 / 0 | pending | not ready |
| F / F-navigation-ownership-v1 | 1 | 1 | 0 / 0 | pending | not ready |
| cross-stream / CD-acceptance-projection-static-v1 | 1 | 1 | 0 / 0 | pending | not ready |
| cross-stream / CD-authority-projection-documentary-v1 | 1 | 1 | 0 / 0 | pending | not ready |
Unknown or zero effort is not dropped to create a favorable window. Qualitative review can retain those cycles, but effort comparisons need an explicitly reviewed window with measured positive research time. No trend or plateau is inferred.
### Stream B / B-independent-navigation-source-v1
| Cycle | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0014 | revision | 6.345 | 9.46 |
| LEARN-0017 | corroboration | unknown | unknown |
| Cycle | Protocol | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0014 | [protocol](../../research/evolution/cycles/2026-09-27-zulip-navigation.md) | revision | 6.345 | 9.46 |
| LEARN-0017 | [protocol](../../research/evolution/cycles/2026-09-27-zulip-target-lookup.md) | corroboration | unknown | unknown |
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three comparable cycles: no trend assessment.
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three declared cycles: qualitative review trigger pending; no trend assessment.
### Stream B / B-navigation-mechanism-v1
| Cycle | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0011 | corroboration | 6.177 | 0.00 |
| Cycle | Protocol | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0011 | [protocol](../../research/evolution/cycles/2026-09-27-navigation.md) | corroboration | 6.177 | 0.00 |
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three comparable cycles: no trend assessment.
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three declared cycles: qualitative review trigger pending; no trend assessment.
### Stream D / D-sqlite-git-recovery-v1
| Cycle | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0018 | corroboration | 4.123 | 0.00 |
| Cycle | Protocol | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0018 | [protocol](../../research/evolution/cycles/2026-09-28-storage-receiver.md) | corroboration | 4.123 | 0.00 |
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three comparable cycles: no trend assessment.
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three declared cycles: qualitative review trigger pending; no trend assessment.
### Stream F / F-navigation-focus-v1
| Cycle | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0012 | corroboration | 5.138 | 0.00 |
| Cycle | Protocol | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0012 | [protocol](../../research/evolution/cycles/2026-09-27-navigation-focus.md) | corroboration | 5.138 | 0.00 |
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three comparable cycles: no trend assessment.
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three declared cycles: qualitative review trigger pending; no trend assessment.
### Stream F / F-navigation-ownership-v1
| Cycle | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0013 | revision | 13.918 | 4.31 |
| Cycle | Protocol | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0013 | [protocol](../../research/evolution/cycles/2026-09-27-navigation-ownership.md) | revision | 13.918 | 4.31 |
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three comparable cycles: no trend assessment.
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three declared cycles: qualitative review trigger pending; no trend assessment.
### Stream cross-stream / CD-acceptance-projection-static-v1
| Cycle | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0016 | corroboration | 4.182 | 0.00 |
| Cycle | Protocol | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0016 | [protocol](../../research/evolution/cycles/2026-09-27-zulip-acceptance.md) | corroboration | 4.182 | 0.00 |
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three comparable cycles: no trend assessment.
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three declared cycles: qualitative review trigger pending; no trend assessment.
### Stream cross-stream / CD-authority-projection-documentary-v1
| Cycle | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0015 | revision | 3.128 | 19.18 |
| Cycle | Protocol | Outcome | Research minutes | Consequential outcome/hour |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| LEARN-0015 | [protocol](../../research/evolution/cycles/2026-09-27-authority-projection.md) | revision | 3.128 | 19.18 |
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three comparable cycles: no trend assessment.
One bounded question counts at most one consequential outcome. Corroboration and inconclusive work remain visible separately. Fewer than three declared cycles: qualitative review trigger pending; no trend assessment.
## Coherence and maintainability
@ -124,7 +140,7 @@ Profiles with unknown last substantive review date: 0. Assessment dates record t
Coherence metrics (ambiguous selections, unjustified relations and overlap resolved): not measured. Conflict Copy / Explicit Reconciliation overlap remains an explicit open question.
Review backlog and evidence gaps remain in [FEP-WP-0002-seed-language-validation](../../workplans/FEP-WP-0002-seed-language-validation.md), [FEP-WP-0003-contrasting-schools](../../workplans/FEP-WP-0003-contrasting-schools.md), [FEP-WP-0006-language-evolution](../../workplans/FEP-WP-0006-language-evolution.md).
Review backlog and evidence gaps remain in [FEP-WP-0009-m1-independent-validation](../../workplans/FEP-WP-0009-m1-independent-validation.md), [FEP-WP-0003-contrasting-schools](../../workplans/FEP-WP-0003-contrasting-schools.md), [FEP-WP-0006-language-evolution](../../workplans/FEP-WP-0006-language-evolution.md), [FEP-WP-0008-use-driven-improvement](../../workplans/FEP-WP-0008-use-driven-improvement.md).
## Pattern profiles