Integrate founding explorations and bootstrap operational radar

Assistant: codex
Assistant-Model: gpt-6-astra
Assistant-Session: 01a09c77-b1a9-7eb3-b501-6cb24b458c97

watchlist/SOURCES.md

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+> Imported exploration, 2026-09-13. Source claims have not been independently verified by this repository. See [integration review](../docs/integration-review.md).
+
+# Watchlist — original outlets and thinkers
+
+Version 0.1 · 13 September 2026
+
+Daily monitoring prefers **primary outlets**. Commentary is used to find primaries, not as the record.
+
+## A. Labs and model builders (primary)
+
+- OpenAI — research, product, preparedness, system cards
+- Anthropic — research, alignment, economic index, model cards
+- Google DeepMind / Google AI — Gemini, science models, weather/bio
+- xAI — Grok model cards and API docs
+- Meta Superintelligence Labs / Meta AI — Muse Spark, Llama, research
+- Mistral, Cohere
+- DeepSeek, Alibaba Qwen, Moonshot Kimi, Z.ai / Zhipu GLM, MiniMax, Tencent Hunyuan, Thinking Machines
+- Cognition, Adept-class agent firms, World Labs, Pathway (architecture outliers)
+
+## B. Measurement houses (primary for the ledger)
+
+- Artificial Analysis
+- Epoch AI (benchmarks, ECI, compute/data trackers)
+- ARC Prize
+- SWE-bench / Terminal-Bench / OSWorld maintainers
+- Stanford HAI AI Index, HELM
+- LMSYS / Arena (preference, not task success)
+- BenchLM, UnifyBench, and other evidence-tracing boards (secondary corroboration)
+
+## C. Science of intelligence (primary)
+
+- arXiv cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.CL, q-bio.NC; Nature / Science / Neuron / Nat. Commun. when they land
+- Cognitive science venues (Psychological Science, Cognitive Science, Daedalus intelligence issues)
+- NeuroAI programs: Wang-style foundational brain models, connectomics, PFC control
+- Tenenbaum / Ganguli / Gonzalez complementary-intelligence lines
+- Papers With Code only as an index, not as a source of truth
+
+## D. Hardware, systems, energy
+
+- NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC, ASML, Huawei Ascend coverage from primary filings
+- Hyperscaler capex letters (MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, META, ORCL)
+- National compute plans (US, EU, CN, IN, Gulf)
+
+## E. Economy, firms, markets
+
+- Lab blogs + The Information / Semafor / Bloomberg for deal flow (verify)
+- Earnings transcripts
+- Pricing pages and status dashboards (availability is data)
+
+## F. Politics, law, regulation
+
+- Official texts: US executive orders and agency rules, EU AI Act implementing acts, China interim measures, UK AISI / DSIT, OECD, UN
+- Court dockets on copyright, product liability, export controls
+- Preparedness / safety institute evaluations (US AISI, EU equivalents, independent red teams)
+
+## G. Thinkers to read in the original (not the clip)
+
+Keep the list short and rotate. Current standing set:
+
+**Builders / research leads:** Dario Amodei, Demis Hassabis, Shane Legg, Ilya Sutskever, Noam Brown, Jared Kaplan, Jack Clark, Sepp Hochreiter, Yann LeCun, Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Fei-Fei Li, Oriol Vinyals, Chelsea Finn, Jim Fan, John Schulman-class post-training leads, Moonshot / DeepSeek / Qwen chief scientists when they publish.
+
+**Measurement / forecasting:** Epoch AI authors, Artificial Analysis, ARC Prize (Chollet and successors), METR / eval orgs, Ajeya Cotra–class compute forecasts, Stanford HAI index leads.
+
+**Cognitive science / NeuroAI:** Joshua Tenenbaum, Surya Ganguli, Xiao-Jing Wang, Karl Friston (predictive processing — track influence, do not endorse), Nancy Kanwisher / Ev Fedorenko language-brain line, Anne Collins / Tom Griffiths resource-rational line.
+
+**Political economy / law:** Jack Clark (Import AI), Helen Toner–class policy, EU and US agency technical staff papers, competition-authority reports.
+
+**Public squares (secondary, high noise):** X accounts of the above; Hacker News; LessWrong / Alignment Forum only when a primary artifact is linked.
+
+## H. Daily scan order (30–40 minutes of model time)
+
+1. Lab blogs + X posts from standing thinkers that link a primary
+2. Artificial Analysis / Epoch / ARC / agent-bench leaderboards for *deltas*
+3. arXiv cs.AI/LG frontpage + Nature/Science news
+4. Regulator and court feeds
+5. Pricing/status/capacity incidents
+6. One pass of quality press to catch missed primaries (MIT TR, Ars, The Information, Axios, Semafor, ThursdAI release log)
+
+Reject: product roundups with no source, leaked slides without corroboration, “AGI declared” quotes without a measurement.