First delegated evidence from RESOURCE-WP-0003-T04 to land. railiance-platform delivered apps-pg capacity, utilization, consumers, and the apps-pg-dbbytes-v1 allocation driver, and correctly delivered no EUR. - data/resources/apps-pg.json: real capacity; allocation unattributed -> shared under apps-pg-dbbytes-v1; second consumer vergabe-teilnahme registered - data/control-cycle/apps-pg-2026-09-base.json: first operational control-cycle record in the repository - examples/control-cycle/apps-pg-*.json retired; the invented fixture collided with the real record's identifier - data/portfolio-coverage-2026-08-14.json: gap marked delivered with three residual unknowns still open The real evidence exposed a design gap in the T05 schema: v0.1 required a number for every cost field, so recording genuine usage without a booked cost meant inventing one. Schema 0.2 permits null costs, null unattributed_eur, a technical unattributed_share, and null measurements. Null is unknown, never zero; an unknown component makes the total null rather than the sum of the known parts; and the comparator classifies unknown amounts as data_quality instead of computing a variance. Existing 0.1 records are not rewritten. apps-pg is now measured (idle at 5.8% of volume) and attributed, and remains unpriced: delivered technical evidence does not create a booked cost. 86 tests pass. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
92 lines
3.7 KiB
Python
92 lines
3.7 KiB
Python
#!/usr/bin/env python3
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"""Compare a generic immutable resource forecast with an actual observation."""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import json
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import sys
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from pathlib import Path
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COST_FIELDS = ("infrastructure", "internal_labor", "external_labor", "total")
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ATTRIBUTIONS = {"demand", "provider_price", "allocation", "labor", "model", "data_quality"}
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def delta(forecast: float | None, actual: float | None) -> dict:
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# A missing amount is unknown, not zero: subtracting against it would
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# manufacture a variance the evidence does not support.
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if forecast is None or actual is None:
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return {"forecast": forecast, "actual": actual, "status": "unknown"}
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error = actual - forecast
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return {
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"forecast": forecast,
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"actual": actual,
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"error": round(error, 4),
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"absolute_percentage_error": None if forecast == 0 else round(abs(error) / forecast * 100, 2),
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}
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def compare(forecast: dict, actual: dict) -> dict:
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if forecast["record_type"] != "forecast" or actual["record_type"] != "actual":
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raise ValueError("expected forecast and actual records")
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for field in ("resource_id", "resource_class", "period"):
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if forecast[field] != actual[field]:
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raise ValueError(f"{field} mismatch")
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if actual.get("forecast_ref") != forecast["record_id"]:
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raise ValueError("actual forecast_ref must identify the immutable forecast")
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attribution = actual.get("variance_attribution", {})
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unknown = set(attribution.values()) - ATTRIBUTIONS
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if unknown:
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raise ValueError(f"unknown variance attribution: {sorted(unknown)}")
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proxies = {}
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all_proxies = sorted(set(forecast["usage_proxies"]) | set(actual["usage_proxies"]))
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for name in all_proxies:
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planned = forecast["usage_proxies"].get(name)
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observed = actual["usage_proxies"].get(name)
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if planned is None or observed is None:
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proxies[name] = {"status": "missing", "category": "data_quality"}
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elif planned["unit"] != observed["unit"]:
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proxies[name] = {"status": "unit-mismatch", "category": "data_quality"}
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else:
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proxies[name] = {**delta(planned["value"], observed["value"]), "unit": planned["unit"], "category": attribution.get(name, "demand")}
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costs = {}
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for name in COST_FIELDS:
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default_category = "labor" if "labor" in name else "provider_price"
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result = delta(forecast["costs"][name], actual["costs"][name])
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# An unknown amount is a data-quality gap, not a price or labour movement.
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category = "data_quality" if result.get("status") == "unknown" else attribution.get(
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f"costs.{name}", default_category
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)
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costs[name] = {**result, "currency": "EUR", "category": category}
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if forecast["allocation"] != actual["allocation"]:
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costs["allocation_method"] = {"status": "changed", "category": attribution.get("allocation", "allocation")}
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return {
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"forecast_ref": forecast["record_id"],
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"actual_ref": actual["record_id"],
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"resource_id": forecast["resource_id"],
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"resource_class": forecast["resource_class"],
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"period": forecast["period"],
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"usage_proxies": proxies,
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"costs": costs,
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}
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def main() -> int:
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if len(sys.argv) != 3:
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print(f"usage: {sys.argv[0]} FORECAST.json ACTUAL.json", file=sys.stderr)
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return 2
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try:
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result = compare(json.loads(Path(sys.argv[1]).read_text()), json.loads(Path(sys.argv[2]).read_text()))
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except (KeyError, ValueError) as exc:
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print(f"control-cycle error: {exc}", file=sys.stderr)
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return 1
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print(json.dumps(result, indent=2))
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return 0
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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raise SystemExit(main())
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