target-revenue/src/target_revenue/metrics.py
tegwick dfc1d90c28 Implement public metrics service (WP-0006-T05)
src/target_revenue/metrics.py: compute_metrics(manifest, entries, as_of)
is pure/deterministic like fold.py, reusing fold.py/conversion.py
unchanged. Returns facts/calculations/forecasts as three explicitly
separated blocks (TrustServicePRD TS-FR-5), covering the mandatory Q9
set plus the recommended velocity/forecast tier - forecasts are always
null rather than populated once a Phase has converted or velocity is
non-positive, so nothing disguises a projection as a fact.

Adds GET /phases/{id}/metrics (unauthenticated per FR-9/FR-10).
tests/test_metrics.py (6 tests) needs no Docker/Postgres and runs
under plain system Python. One new Docker-gated test in
test_ledger_hosting.py proves the hosted /metrics response exactly
matches compute_metrics() run offline against the same export.
2026-07-29 21:42:52 +02:00

125 lines
4.8 KiB
Python

"""Public metrics computation (WP-0006-T05).
Implements the mandatory public metrics set from
`specs/OpenQuestions-WorkingDefaults.md` Q9, plus its recommended
velocity/forecast tier, always labeled fact / calculation / forecast per
`specs/TargetRevenueLicenseConcept.md` §14.6 and
`specs/TrustServiceProductRequirementsDocument.md` TS-FR-5:
- **fact**: read or summed directly from the Manifest/Ledger, no modeling.
- **calculation**: a deterministic derivation over facts (e.g. a percentage).
- **forecast**: a projection that could be wrong; never positioned where a
fact is expected, and — per TSD §4.1's Metrics component's forbidden
action — never presented as if it were a ledger fact.
Pure and deterministic given `(manifest, entries, as_of)`: the only
"impure" input is the caller-supplied `as_of` timestamp, kept as an
explicit parameter (not read from the wall clock internally) so this
module stays testable and reproducible like `fold.py` (TSD §6.1).
"""
from __future__ import annotations
from datetime import datetime, timezone
from typing import Any
from . import conversion as conversion_module
from . import fold as fold_module
_MATERIAL_PROGRESS_TYPES = frozenset({"development-credit", "remission-credit"})
def _parse(ts: str) -> datetime:
return datetime.fromisoformat(ts.replace("Z", "+00:00"))
def compute_metrics(
manifest: dict[str, Any], entries: list[dict[str, Any]], as_of: datetime
) -> dict[str, Any]:
"""Compute the full labeled metrics set for one Phase at a point in time."""
if as_of.tzinfo is None:
raise ValueError("as_of must be timezone-aware")
status = conversion_module.conversion_status(manifest, entries)
fold_result = fold_module.fold_outstanding_target(
manifest["phase"]["initial_target"]["amount"], entries
)
initial_amount = manifest["phase"]["initial_target"]["amount"]
last_entry = entries[-1] if entries else None
material_entries = [e for e in entries if e["type"] in _MATERIAL_PROGRESS_TYPES]
first_material = material_entries[0] if material_entries else None
last_material = material_entries[-1] if material_entries else None
facts = {
"initial_target_amount": initial_amount,
"initial_target_currency": manifest["phase"]["initial_target"]["currency"],
"cumulative_development_credit": fold_result.development_credit,
"cumulative_remission_credit": fold_result.remission_credit,
"outstanding_target": fold_result.outstanding_target,
"is_converted": status.is_converted,
"future_license": status.future_license,
"last_ledger_entry_id": last_entry["id"] if last_entry else None,
"longstop_at": manifest["phase"].get("longstop_at"),
}
calculations: dict[str, Any] = {
"target_satisfaction_percentage": (
None
if initial_amount <= 0
else round(
100.0
* min(1.0, (fold_result.development_credit + fold_result.remission_credit) / initial_amount),
4,
)
),
"development_credit_velocity_per_day": None,
"remission_credit_velocity_per_day": None,
"days_since_last_material_progress": None,
}
if first_material and last_material:
span_days = (_parse(last_material["recognized_at"]) - _parse(first_material["recognized_at"])).total_seconds() / 86400.0
if span_days > 0:
dev_total = sum(
e["amount"] for e in material_entries if e["type"] == "development-credit"
)
rem_total = sum(
e["amount"] for e in material_entries if e["type"] == "remission-credit"
)
calculations["development_credit_velocity_per_day"] = round(dev_total / span_days, 6)
calculations["remission_credit_velocity_per_day"] = round(rem_total / span_days, 6)
if last_material:
calculations["days_since_last_material_progress"] = round(
(as_of - _parse(last_material["recognized_at"])).total_seconds() / 86400.0, 4
)
forecasts: dict[str, Any] = {"projected_conversion_date": None}
velocity = (
(calculations["development_credit_velocity_per_day"] or 0.0)
+ (calculations["remission_credit_velocity_per_day"] or 0.0)
)
if not status.is_converted and velocity > 0:
days_remaining = fold_result.outstanding_target / velocity
forecasts["projected_conversion_date"] = (
as_of.replace(microsecond=0) + _timedelta_days(days_remaining)
).isoformat()
return {
"phase": manifest["phase"]["id"],
"as_of": as_of.isoformat(),
"facts": facts,
"calculations": calculations,
"forecasts": forecasts,
}
def _timedelta_days(days: float):
from datetime import timedelta
return timedelta(days=days)
def utcnow() -> datetime:
return datetime.now(timezone.utc)