target-revenue/tests/test_effort_calculator.py
tegwick 6eec4f6634 Apply Development Effort Calculator to real pilot candidates (WP-0010-T03)
Adds since/until date-range scoping to cluster_commit_hours() and
workplan_task_counts() (threaded through calculate_target_basis()),
needed whenever a candidate is one bounded workplan within a repo
whose overall history spans much more (net-kingdom, railiance-apps)
rather than the whole repo being the candidate (vergabe-teilnahme,
info-tech-canon).

Fixes a real bug found along the way: workplan_task_counts() only
scanned the top level of workplans/, missing net-kingdom's
workplans/archived/ convention entirely - silently reported zero
finished workplans for NK-WP-0002, which lives there. Fixed to scan
recursively; added a regression test.

Updates all three draft pilot-candidate manifests with calculator-
derived target_basis/initial_target values, replacing the hand-picked
placeholders:
  net-kingdom-local-identity:      200,000 -> 10,000 EUR (floor + sanity warnings)
  railiance-vergabe-teilnahme:   3,500,000 -> 648,800 EUR (no warnings)
  info-tech-canon-service-surface: 2,500,000 -> 141,800 EUR (sanity warning)

history/260730-EffortCalculator-CandidateApplication.md records full
derivation, warnings, and the judgment calls made explicit rather than
silently picked (date-scoping windows; measuring vergabe-teilnahme's
own repo rather than railiance-apps' deployment-only wiring, with both
figures shown). Still draft/non-binding - WP-0008-T05 unaffected.

5 new tests (20 -> now covering since/until scoping and the
archived-subdirectory fix). Full suite: 84 passing offline.
2026-07-30 13:29:06 +02:00

342 lines
10 KiB
Python

"""Tests for target_revenue.effort_calculator (WP-0010-T02).
Pure/offline: builds throwaway git repos and directory fixtures under
tmp_path rather than depending on any real repo's current state, so
these tests stay deterministic regardless of what target-revenue's own
history looks like later.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import subprocess
from pathlib import Path
import pytest
from target_revenue import effort_calculator as ec
def _git(repo: Path, *args: str, env: dict | None = None) -> None:
subprocess.run(["git", "-C", str(repo), *args], check=True, capture_output=True, env=env)
def _commit(repo: Path, message: str, epoch_seconds: int) -> None:
(repo / "file.txt").write_text(message)
_git(repo, "add", "file.txt")
date = f"{epoch_seconds} +0000"
env = {
"GIT_AUTHOR_DATE": date,
"GIT_COMMITTER_DATE": date,
"GIT_AUTHOR_NAME": "test",
"GIT_AUTHOR_EMAIL": "test@example.com",
"GIT_COMMITTER_NAME": "test",
"GIT_COMMITTER_EMAIL": "test@example.com",
}
import os
full_env = {**os.environ, **env}
_git(repo, "commit", "-q", "-m", message, env=full_env)
@pytest.fixture()
def git_repo(tmp_path):
repo = tmp_path / "repo"
repo.mkdir()
_git(repo, "init", "-q", "-b", "main")
return repo
# --- cluster_commit_hours ----------------------------------------------
def test_cluster_commit_hours_empty_repo_no_commits(git_repo):
result = ec.cluster_commit_hours(git_repo)
assert result == ec.CommitTimeEstimate(raw_hours=0.0, session_count=0, commit_count=0)
def test_cluster_commit_hours_single_commit_uses_floor(git_repo):
_commit(git_repo, "init", 1_000_000_000)
result = ec.cluster_commit_hours(git_repo)
assert result.commit_count == 1
assert result.session_count == 1
assert result.raw_hours == pytest.approx(ec.SINGLE_COMMIT_SESSION_MINUTES / 60)
def test_cluster_commit_hours_one_session_spans_actual_time(git_repo):
base = 1_000_000_000
_commit(git_repo, "c1", base)
_commit(git_repo, "c2", base + 3600) # 1 hour later, same session
result = ec.cluster_commit_hours(git_repo, session_gap_hours=2.0)
assert result.session_count == 1
assert result.commit_count == 2
assert result.raw_hours == pytest.approx(1.0)
def test_cluster_commit_hours_gap_splits_into_two_sessions(git_repo):
base = 1_000_000_000
_commit(git_repo, "c1", base)
_commit(git_repo, "c2", base + 3 * 3600) # 3 hours later, gap > 2h default
result = ec.cluster_commit_hours(git_repo, session_gap_hours=2.0)
assert result.session_count == 2
assert result.commit_count == 2
# Both are single-commit sessions -> two floor contributions.
assert result.raw_hours == pytest.approx(2 * ec.SINGLE_COMMIT_SESSION_MINUTES / 60)
# --- workplan_task_counts ------------------------------------------------
def test_workplan_task_counts_scans_archived_subdirectory(tmp_path):
archived = tmp_path / "workplans" / "archived"
archived.mkdir(parents=True)
(archived / "old-finished.md").write_text(
"""---
id: OLD-0001
status: finished
---
```task
id: OLD-0001-T01
status: done
```
"""
)
result = ec.workplan_task_counts(tmp_path)
assert result.finished_workplans == 1
assert result.total_tasks == 1
assert result.finished_tasks == 1
def test_workplan_task_counts_no_workplans_dir(tmp_path):
result = ec.workplan_task_counts(tmp_path)
assert result == ec.WorkplanTaskCounts(0, 0, 0)
def test_workplan_task_counts_counts_finished_workplans_and_tasks(tmp_path):
workplans = tmp_path / "workplans"
workplans.mkdir()
(workplans / "WP-0001.md").write_text(
"""---
id: WP-0001
status: finished
---
```task
id: WP-0001-T01
status: done
```
```task
id: WP-0001-T02
status: todo
```
"""
)
(workplans / "WP-0002.md").write_text(
"""---
id: WP-0002
status: active
---
```task
id: WP-0002-T01
status: done
```
"""
)
result = ec.workplan_task_counts(tmp_path)
assert result.finished_workplans == 1
assert result.total_tasks == 3
assert result.finished_tasks == 2
# --- repo_size_metrics ----------------------------------------------------
def test_repo_size_metrics_counts_files_and_lines(tmp_path):
(tmp_path / "a.py").write_text("line1\nline2\nline3\n")
(tmp_path / "b.py").write_text("line1\n")
result = ec.repo_size_metrics(tmp_path)
assert result.file_count == 2
assert result.line_count == 4
def test_repo_size_metrics_excludes_vendored_paths(tmp_path):
(tmp_path / "a.py").write_text("line1\n")
vendored = tmp_path / "node_modules" / "pkg"
vendored.mkdir(parents=True)
(vendored / "big.js").write_text("x\n" * 1000)
result = ec.repo_size_metrics(tmp_path)
assert result.file_count == 1
assert result.line_count == 1
# --- token_cost_usd --------------------------------------------------------
def test_token_cost_usd_default_pricing():
cost = ec.token_cost_usd(1_000_000, 1_000_000)
expected = 1_000_000 * 3e-6 + 1_000_000 * 15e-6
assert cost == pytest.approx(expected)
def test_token_cost_usd_unknown_model_falls_back_to_default():
cost_unknown = ec.token_cost_usd(1000, 1000, model="some-unlisted-model")
cost_default = ec.token_cost_usd(1000, 1000, model="default")
assert cost_unknown == cost_default
# --- estimate_target_basis: the 1-day floor and warning -------------------
def test_low_raw_estimate_triggers_floor_and_warning():
commit_time = ec.CommitTimeEstimate(raw_hours=0.5, session_count=1, commit_count=1)
result = ec.estimate_target_basis(
commit_time=commit_time,
workplan_tasks=ec.WorkplanTaskCounts(0, 0, 0),
repo_size=ec.RepoSizeMetrics(1, 10),
token_cost=ec.TokenCost(0, 0, 0.0),
daily_rate=1000.0,
)
assert result.estimated_effort_days == ec.MANUAL_EFFORT_FLOOR_DAYS
assert any("floor" in w.lower() for w in result.warnings)
assert any("manual override" in w.lower() for w in result.warnings)
assert result.derivation["raw_commit_clustered_days"] < ec.MANUAL_EFFORT_FLOOR_DAYS
def test_sufficient_raw_estimate_no_floor_warning():
commit_time = ec.CommitTimeEstimate(
raw_hours=ec.DEFAULT_HOURS_PER_DAY * 5, session_count=5, commit_count=20
)
result = ec.estimate_target_basis(
commit_time=commit_time,
workplan_tasks=ec.WorkplanTaskCounts(0, 0, 0),
repo_size=ec.RepoSizeMetrics(10, 500),
token_cost=ec.TokenCost(0, 0, 0.0),
daily_rate=1000.0,
)
assert result.estimated_effort_days == pytest.approx(5.0)
assert not any("floor" in w.lower() for w in result.warnings)
def test_high_workplan_volume_with_low_time_triggers_sanity_warning():
commit_time = ec.CommitTimeEstimate(raw_hours=4.0, session_count=1, commit_count=2)
result = ec.estimate_target_basis(
commit_time=commit_time,
workplan_tasks=ec.WorkplanTaskCounts(finished_workplans=10, total_tasks=50, finished_tasks=40),
repo_size=ec.RepoSizeMetrics(200, 20000),
token_cost=ec.TokenCost(0, 0, 0.0),
daily_rate=1000.0,
)
assert any("under-counted" in w.lower() for w in result.warnings)
def test_derivation_shows_its_work():
commit_time = ec.CommitTimeEstimate(raw_hours=16.0, session_count=2, commit_count=10)
result = ec.estimate_target_basis(
commit_time=commit_time,
workplan_tasks=ec.WorkplanTaskCounts(2, 5, 3),
repo_size=ec.RepoSizeMetrics(50, 3000),
token_cost=ec.TokenCost(tokens_in=100, tokens_out=200, usd=1.23),
daily_rate=800.0,
)
assert result.derivation["commits"] == 10
assert result.derivation["sessions"] == 2
assert result.derivation["finished_workplans"] == 2
assert result.derivation["file_count"] == 50
assert result.derivation["line_count"] == 3000
assert result.derivation["tokens_in"] == 100
assert result.approved_direct_costs == 1.23
assert result.daily_rate == 800.0
# --- calculate_target_basis: end-to-end -----------------------------------
def test_calculate_target_basis_end_to_end(git_repo):
base = 1_000_000_000
_commit(git_repo, "c1", base)
_commit(git_repo, "c2", base + ec.DEFAULT_HOURS_PER_DAY * 3 * 3600)
result = ec.calculate_target_basis(
git_repo, daily_rate=1000.0, tokens_in=1000, tokens_out=1000
)
assert result.daily_rate == 1000.0
assert result.approved_direct_costs == pytest.approx(
ec.token_cost_usd(1000, 1000), abs=0.01
)
assert isinstance(result.estimated_effort_days, float)
# --- since/until date-range scoping ---------------------------------------
def test_cluster_commit_hours_since_until_excludes_outside_window(git_repo):
_commit(git_repo, "outside-early", 1_577_836_800) # 2020-01-01
_commit(git_repo, "inside", 1_614_556_800) # 2021-03-01
_commit(git_repo, "outside-late", 1_672_531_200) # 2023-01-01
result = ec.cluster_commit_hours(git_repo, since="2021-01-01", until="2021-06-01")
assert result.commit_count == 1
def test_workplan_task_counts_since_until_filters_by_updated_date(tmp_path):
workplans = tmp_path / "workplans"
workplans.mkdir()
(workplans / "old.md").write_text(
"""---
id: OLD-0001
status: finished
updated: "2020-01-01"
---
```task
id: OLD-0001-T01
status: done
```
"""
)
(workplans / "recent.md").write_text(
"""---
id: NEW-0001
status: finished
updated: "2026-03-03"
---
```task
id: NEW-0001-T01
status: done
```
"""
)
result = ec.workplan_task_counts(tmp_path, since="2026-01-01", until="2026-06-01")
assert result.finished_workplans == 1
assert result.total_tasks == 1
def test_workplan_task_counts_no_date_field_always_counted(tmp_path):
workplans = tmp_path / "workplans"
workplans.mkdir()
(workplans / "undated.md").write_text(
"""---
id: UND-0001
status: finished
---
```task
id: UND-0001-T01
status: done
```
"""
)
result = ec.workplan_task_counts(tmp_path, since="2026-01-01", until="2026-06-01")
assert result.finished_workplans == 1
assert result.total_tasks == 1
def test_calculate_target_basis_threads_since_until(git_repo):
base = 1_577_836_800 # 2020-01-01
_commit(git_repo, "outside", base)
_commit(git_repo, "inside", base + 86400 * 400) # ~2021-02-04
result = ec.calculate_target_basis(
git_repo, daily_rate=1000.0, since="2021-01-01", until="2021-06-01"
)
assert result.derivation["commits"] == 1