test-driver/research/hypotheses/H-005-verification-energy.md

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---
id: H-005
title: Verification Energy
status: PROPOSED
created: "2026-08-22"
experiments: []
concepts: [C-energy]
---
# H-005 — Verification Energy
## Claim
Historical evidence about defects caught, adaptations required, false positives
and duplication can identify verification assets whose continued execution is
more valuable than others.
## Falsification condition
Energy scores computed from event history fail to rank assets better than a
trivial baseline (e.g. recency, or uniform priority) when predicting which assets
subsequently catch a defect.
## Why no experiment is planned yet
**This hypothesis is not testable at the current scale and is deliberately
dormant.** Validating it requires event history across many assets over months —
history the spike will not accumulate. Implementing a scoring function now would
produce a number that cannot be checked, which is worse than no number.
`TD-WP-0002` therefore records **raw immutable `EnergyEvent`s from the first run**
and implements no scoring, decay, or selection logic. Events cannot be
reconstructed later; scores can always be computed later.
This is the hypothesis most likely to be **cheaply built and never validated**,
which is precisely why it is fenced off.
## Status log
- 2026-08-22 `PROPOSED`, dormant by decision. Event capture only.