assembly-economics/checkpoints/predictions.md

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# Prediction register (append-only)
Pre-registered predictions from the current model version, and the
observations recorded against them at later checkpoints. **Never edit or
delete an entry.** Revised predictions are added as new entries that
reference the entry they supersede.
The first substantive predictions (band ranges per anchor for catalog
indicators) are written by ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T06. Until then, checkpoints
record observations only.
## Entry format
```markdown
### P-YYYY-NNN — <indicator> (<jurisdiction>), horizon <date>
- Registered: <date>, model <version>, by <workplan task>
- Proxy mapping: <how the model quantity maps onto the indicator>
- Band: B1 <range> · B2 <range> · B3 <range> · B4 <range>
- Observations:
- <checkpoint date>: <value> (<source>) → <band position>
```
## Entries
(none yet)