assembly-economics/checkpoints/2026/2026-10-12-light.md
2026-10-12 16:50:34 +00:00

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Checkpoint 2026-10-12 (light)

  • Model version: GADM-0.4
  • Phase: baseline
  • Executor: checkpoints/run_checkpoint.py (web-fetcher; llm-connect assessment)
  • Raw observations with provenance: checkpoints/data/2026-10-12-light.jsonl

Observations

Indicator Jurisdiction Value Unit Reference period Published Source Band position
L1 Firms using AI in any business function (last two weeks) US 23.8 % of employer firms 202620 — source no prediction registered
L1 Firms expecting to use AI in the next six months US 27.7 % of employer firms 202620 — source no prediction registered
L2 Enterprises (10+ employees) using at least one AI technology EU27_2020 19.95 Percentage of enterprises 2025 2026-06-15 source no prediction registered
L2 Enterprises (10+ employees) using at least one AI technology DE 25.97 Percentage of enterprises 2025 2026-06-15 source no prediction registered
L5 Private fixed investment in information processing equipment (SAAR) US 1922.516 billions of USD, SAAR 2026-04-01 — source no prediction registered

Assessment

  • In the US, 23.8% of employer firms reported using AI in any business function in the last two weeks, and 27.7% of employer firms expected to use AI in the next six months.
  • In the EU27_2020, 19.95% of enterprises with 10+ employees used at least one AI technology.
  • In Germany, 25.97% of enterprises with 10+ employees used at least one AI technology.
  • Indicators from different surveys (US BTOS: all employer firms, two-week window; Eurostat: enterprises with 10+ employees, annual) are not directly comparable.

Not found / manual

  • L3 AI use by firms or workers (AR): not_found — manual: no machine-readable source; collect at review Source: INDEC / national ICT surveys; OECD / IDB regional data
  • L4 AI task usage by occupation; automation vs. augmentation (global): not_found — manual: no machine-readable source; collect at review Source: Anthropic Economic Index (dataset releases)
  • L6 Public sentiment toward AI (US, EU, AR): not_found — manual: no machine-readable source; collect at review Source: Pew Research; Eurobarometer; Edelman Trust Barometer; Latinobarómetro
  • L7 AI legislation milestones since last checkpoint (US, EU, AR): not_found — manual: no machine-readable source; collect at review Source: official journals; legislative trackers

Follow-ups

  • Predictions are not yet registered (ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T06); band positions are reported once the register has entries.