assembly-economics/checkpoints/2026/2026-10-14-light.md
2026-10-14 06:00:51 +00:00

3.2 KiB

Checkpoint 2026-10-14 (light)

  • Model version: GADM-0.4
  • Phase: setup
  • Executor: checkpoints/run_checkpoint.py (web-fetcher; llm-connect assessment)
  • Raw observations with provenance: checkpoints/data/2026-10-14-light.jsonl

Observations

Indicator Jurisdiction Value Unit Reference period Published Source Band position
L1 Firms using AI in any business function (last two weeks) US 23.8 % of employer firms 202620 — source see P-2026-001 (judged at review)
L1 Firms expecting to use AI in the next six months US 27.7 % of employer firms 202620 — source see P-2026-001 (judged at review)
L2 Enterprises (10+ employees) using at least one AI technology EU27_2020 19.95 Percentage of enterprises 2025 2026-06-15 source see P-2026-002 (judged at review)
L2 Enterprises (10+ employees) using at least one AI technology DE 25.97 Percentage of enterprises 2025 2026-06-15 source see P-2026-003 (judged at review)
L5 Private fixed investment in information processing equipment (SAAR) US 1922.516 billions of USD, SAAR 2026-04-01 — source no prediction registered

Assessment

  • In the US, 23.8% of employer firms used AI in any business function in the last two weeks, and 27.7% of employer firms expected to use AI in the next six months.
  • In the EU27_2020, 19.95% of enterprises with 10+ employees used at least one AI technology.
  • In DE, 25.97% of enterprises with 10+ employees used at least one AI technology.
  • Indicators from different surveys (e.g. US BTOS: all employer firms, two-week window; Eurostat: enterprises with 10+ employees, annual) are not directly comparable.
  • Private fixed investment in information processing equipment in the US was 1922.516 billions of USD, SAAR.

Not found / manual

  • L3 AI use by firms or workers (AR): not_found — manual: no machine-readable source; collect at review Source: INDEC / national ICT surveys; OECD / IDB regional data
  • L4 AI task usage by occupation; automation vs. augmentation (global): not_found — manual: no machine-readable source; collect at review Source: Anthropic Economic Index (dataset releases)
  • L6 Public sentiment toward AI (US, EU, AR): not_found — manual: no machine-readable source; collect at review Source: Pew Research; Eurobarometer; Edelman Trust Barometer; Latinobarómetro
  • L7 AI legislation milestones since last checkpoint (US, EU, AR): not_found — manual: no machine-readable source; collect at review Source: official journals; legislative trackers

Follow-ups

  • Band positions against registered predictions (predictions.md) are judged at review