Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 14913@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: add7ef69-b901-4756-9a67-34cf1125d96f
1.9 KiB
1.9 KiB
GADM-0.4: cohort agency
Generated by simulations/gadm02/agency.py. t = 100 years.
Scenarios
| Scenario | G aggregate | G working age | G seniors | gap (w − s) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (current trends) | 0.395 | 0.407 | 0.359 | +0.048 |
| Automated capitalism | 0.319 | 0.332 | 0.279 | +0.053 |
| Dividend abundance | 0.429 | 0.441 | 0.393 | +0.047 |
| Universal venture access | 0.511 | 0.531 | 0.450 | +0.081 |
| Commons-rich economy | 0.419 | 0.432 | 0.380 | +0.051 |
| Attention oligopoly | 0.369 | 0.381 | 0.331 | +0.051 |
| Generative regime | 0.697 | 0.699 | 0.689 | +0.010 |
| Generative regime, concentrated lineages | 0.453 | 0.462 | 0.424 | +0.038 |
| Generative regime, attention extraction | 0.632 | 0.635 | 0.622 | +0.014 |
G1: membrane control and the senior agency gap (baseline background)
| m (user/community membrane control) | G working age | G seniors | gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 0.386 | 0.335 | +0.052 |
| 0.3 | 0.407 | 0.359 | +0.048 |
| 0.5 | 0.432 | 0.388 | +0.045 |
| 0.7 | 0.456 | 0.417 | +0.039 |
| 0.9 | 0.476 | 0.443 | +0.033 |
Gap change from m = 0.1 to 0.9: -0.018.
G2: education and working-age agency (run difference, edu 1.5 vs. 1.0)
| t | ΔG working age | ΔG seniors |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | +0.0000 | +0.0000 |
| 10 | +0.0039 | +0.0005 |
| 20 | +0.0049 | +0.0010 |
| 30 | +0.0048 | +0.0010 |
| 50 | +0.0048 | +0.0011 |
| 75 | +0.0049 | +0.0012 |
| 100 | +0.0049 | +0.0012 |
Half of the final working-age effect after 6 years.
G3: care relief and senior agency (baseline background)
Participation claims cp act through two channels: broader claims B (all cohorts) and care relief (seniors' agency, carers' attention). Setting care_relief = 0 isolates the claims channel.
| cp | G working age | G seniors | G seniors, claims channel only | care-relief share of senior gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | 0.407 | 0.359 | 0.359 | — |
| 0.15 | 0.423 | 0.395 | 0.375 | 56% |
| 0.30 | 0.438 | 0.428 | 0.390 | 55% |