binky-control/finance/CostRunRate.md
tegwick 143eef2f0d
All checks were successful
Work Records / validate (push) Successful in 13s
BINKY-WP-0005 finished: first Qonto pull and CostRunRate v2
Live custody path tenants/binky/qonto-api (API_KEY/API_USER). First read-only
thirdparty pull (122 txs): desk 297.50 €/mo, Qonto plan 70.80 €/mo, main
balance 2185.94 €. Evidence under finance/; workplan status finished.
2026-07-21 21:42:10 +02:00

5 KiB
Raw Blame History

Cost & Run-Rate Table

Status: v2 — 2026-07-21 (BINKY-WP-0005-T05 first Qonto pull). Feeds the cash/runway view (Finance Steward loop). Currency EUR unless noted. Evidence: finance/qonto-first-pull-2026-07-21.json (metadata only).

Recurring costs

# Item Provider Monthly (gross) Paid from Confidence / source
1 Fixed desk, HUB31 Darmstadt Technologie- u. Gründerzentrum Verwaltungs-GmbH 297,50 Qonto Verified 2026-07-21 Qonto pull: label HUB31, office_rental, 33× 297,50 € monthly since ≥2023-06; contract renewed to 2027-04-01
2 DATEV / IT pass-through FSW (old StB) ~40,31 (483,69/yr) Qonto Documented: invoice 2026/651 for JanDec 2025. Continues only while DUO runs via FSW (RISK-007)
3 StB fees (JA, filings) FSW → Bohle-Horsmann (pending) irregular / annual Qonto Recent lumps (not monthly): FSW 2025-05 1230,58 + 327,73; 2025-10 FSW/Weglarzy 1138 + 261,80. Mandate transition open (RISK-006)
4 Qonto account Qonto 70,80 Qonto Verified 2026-07-21: operation_type=qonto_fee, 70,80 €/mo since 2025-10 (was 35,40 mid-2025; 22,80 earlier). OH-2026-003: plan change still separate Red-lane decision
5 bubble.io Starter Web Plan (app "coulomb") Bubble Group Inc. $32 founder private card ⚠️ Documented: invoice 2026-03-9049150, billed to private gmail/card
6 AI subscriptions various TBC founder private ⚠️ Founder note 2026-03-24: paid privately, not itemized yet
7 Domain(s): binky-hedgehog.com (+ inventory pending) TBC TBC (~13/mo typical) TBC AWQ-003 domain inventory will enumerate registrar + payer
8 Stripe Stripe usage-based fees only n/a Credits ~8,55 €/mo observed on main account; no fixed fee
9 railiance01 VM (4 vCPU / 16 GB RAM) TBC (hosting provider) 25,19 TBC Founder-stated 2026-07-16: 24-month commitment (≈604,56 € total). Not seen on Qonto Hauptkonto in sample — may be private card

Known recurring income

Item Counterparty Amount Notes
Meeting-room sublet share Binect 450 € per event (25% × 2 days × 900 €) Founder note 2026-03-02; 2026-06-02 credit 571,20 € from Binect GmbH observed on Qonto (likely related; confirm vs open receivable)
Stripe subscription own/self ~8,55 € credits observed Pipeline alive; net after Stripe fees

Snapshot (2026-07-21 first pull)

Account Status Balance (EUR)
Hauptkonto (main) active 2185,94
Kickstart Business active 0,00

Org: Binky Hedgehog GmbH (binky-hedgehog-gmbh-6923). Transactions fetched: 122 (full history on main account via API pagination).

Findings

  1. Private/company bleed (⚠️ rows 56, possibly 9): bubble.io and AI subscriptions (and maybe railiance01) are company-purpose costs on private payment — cash-flow invisible to the company. Action: move to Qonto card or Auslagenerstattung → OH-2026-001 / StB advice.
  2. Liquidity is thin but not empty: main balance 2185,94 € (2026-07-21). Desk + Qonto alone ≈ 368 €/mo fixed company-account outflows before StB lumps and DATEV. Still treat new recurring spend as Yellow.
  3. Open receivable / Binect: a 571,20 € Binect credit landed 2026-06-02 — reconcile against the 450 €/event sublet note and any outstanding invoices.
  4. Desk + Qonto plan resolved from the first pull (was the main TBC pair).
  5. railiance01 commitment (2026-07-16): 24-month term remains; not confirmed on Qonto Hauptkonto in this pull — payment source still TBC.
  6. Qonto plan cost stepped up: 22,80 → 35,40 → 70,80 €/mo. OH-2026-003 cost-vs-usage review still useful; plan change is a separate Red-lane step.

Feeding adaptive-pricing (cost floor)

This table is the source for the allocated_fixed_cost input of adaptive-pricing's boundary engine (cost-floor price boundary, adaptive_pricing_core/boundary_engine.py). adaptive-pricing does not capture costs itself — when its Coulomb pricing project needs a cost floor, derive it from the run-rate here (railiance01 hosting is a direct infrastructure component of that floor).

Estimated run-rate (company Qonto, verified floor)

Fixed on Qonto Hauptkonto: desk 297,50 + Qonto plan 70,80 + DATEV ~40~408 €/mo, plus irregular StB lumps and usage Stripe fees. Add private-card company costs (bubble ~30 €, AI TBC, maybe railiance01 25) for a full economic picture — those do not hit the company balance today.

Maintenance

Update on: any new subscription, mandate quote, Qonto statement pull, or JA. Owner: Finance Steward loop (rhythm session may update rows; adding new recurring spend is never below Yellow lane). Credential lane: tenants/binky/qonto-api via ops-warden binky-qonto-api (CCR-2026-0008).