clay-borg/workplans/CB-WP-0042-h2-scoped-problem-stress.md
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CB-WP-0042 T05: H2 measured — it largely succeeds where H1 failed
Measured against ground-game's own §3 criteria, read from their design
note rather than reused from H1.

Criterion 1 met with room: greedy SHARED wins 120 at 3p and 175 at 4p,
against H1's 0 and 0, restoring 73% and 92% of baseline.

Criterion 3 met, and it was H1's clearest failure. Under H1 the
unregulated seat armed DARVO constantly and never won; under H2 it arms
and wins 13/13/57. "Non-zero for some policy that still sometimes wins" is
exactly the shape H1 could not produce.

Criterion 2 met at 2p/4p/6p and missed at 3p — 1.50 against baseline's
1.57 — reported as a miss because that is what this sample says. The
mechanism is visible: H1-greedy's spread is 0.00 at 3p+, because a flat
tax on every seat creates no variance at all. That is the clearest
statement of why scoping was the right correction.

Criterion 5 is the best evidence in the pass. Forcing every scope to
global and changing nothing else reproduces H1's collapse exactly — 120 to
0 at 3p, 175 to 0 at 4p — so the scoping is what saves it, not any other
difference between the packages.

Criterion 4 came out backwards and the prediction held. The workplan said
this panel might be unable to test it, because no policy here models
another seat or knows what a scope is; bond claim rates are LOWER than
personal at 3p and 4p, driven by suit availability rather than incentive.
Reported as untested with an incidental figure pointing the wrong way,
not as a refutation.

Wired into make panels. First pass declared after ADR-0021, so no chaos
roll is recorded.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-08-08 16:09:16 +02:00

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---
id: CB-WP-0042
kind: product
title: "H2 — scoped problem stress"
status: done
state_hub_workstream_id: "8f11d55b-3452-49f3-9857-d0bf06752f68"
---
# Purpose
```
structural tier M (touches a canonical interface: edition loading
becomes variant-parameterised, and the kernel gains
per-Problem state)
chaos d8 = 4 → no override
declared tier M
```
**Declaration 2 of chaos window 4.**
## Why, and it is a direct answer to ours
We reported that H1-A behaves as a **solve-rate tax**: a flat +1 to every
seat while any Problem is unclaimed, so the pressure scales with the
number of Problems while the intended effect does not.
`ground-game` responded with **H2 — scoped problem stress**. Unclaimed
Problems now tick **only the seats in their scope**:
| scope | who takes the +1 |
|---|---|
| `global` | all seats |
| `personal` | the Problem's **owner** |
| `bond` | the owner's **Bond network** — owner plus every seat reachable over Bond edges only, never Rivalry; degree 0 falls back to personal |
Assigned by hidden priority: **0 (Surface) global, 1 personal, 2 personal,
3 bond, 4 personal** — which is a seat-band dial without a difficulty
card, since 2p never has the bond card in play.
**It does not stack with H1.** `replaces_experiments: [h1-problem-stress]`,
base is `ground-darvo-r0`, and there is **no ATTACK self-soothe**.
## Why this is bigger than H1 was
H1 was two arithmetic deltas on existing state. H2 needs three things we
do not have:
1. **Variant-scoped edition data.** H2 overrides `Problems.csv` with a
new `stress_scope` column. `edition.rs` `include_str!`s r0's copy at
compile time — **the data is currently a constant, not a parameter.**
2. **Per-Problem ownership**, assigned at setup. That is **new state**,
so it reaches the state hash and every recording.
3. **Bond-network reachability** — a graph traversal over Bond edges
only, with a degree-0 fallback.
## Task: variant-scoped edition data
```task
id: CB-WP-0042-T01
status: done
priority: high
state_hub_task_id: "37f9bc34-05d1-4a12-9a98-6c61ab3ec23f"
```
**Controls:**
- **the baseline's data is bit-for-bit what it was**, and its state hashes
do not move — the control that protected CB-WP-0038 and the one that
invalidates every prior measurement if it fails;
- the H2 package is **vendored with digests** like every other borrowed
file, and `edition-check` covers it — sibling discovery walks the disk
now, so an undigested file fails (CB-REV-0003 #8);
- **`stress_scope`'s assignment is read from the file, not hardcoded.**
The delta states the priority→scope mapping; **it is the edition's to
state and ours to read**, and F25 exists because we hardcoded numbers
the edition already carried.
**Done 2026-08-08.** Package vendored with digests; `edition-check` walks
it. `StressScope` and `stress_scopes()` read the column.
**H2's `Problems.csv` is r0's with one column added and nothing else
changed** — same rows, values, suits, visibilities and priorities. That is
**checked, not assumed**: the delta claims `deal_and_thresholds` unchanged,
and a silent difference would make every H2-vs-baseline comparison a
comparison of two boards as well as two rule sets.
## Task: ownership at setup
```task
id: CB-WP-0042-T02
status: done
priority: high
state_hub_task_id: "65b9b2b8-8160-488f-8cd4-b7f734d03b22"
```
`H2-OWN`: ascending hidden priority among in-play non-global Problems,
starting at Lead, stepping clockwise. Global Problems have no owner.
**Controls:**
- **deterministic**, and asserted so — the delta says "deterministic for
sims" and a seeded-but-unstated order would be untestable;
- **the baseline carries no owners and its hash does not move.** New
state that is `None` under baseline must serialise as it did before, or
every recorded scenario breaks;
- **exactly one owner per eligible Problem**, checked at every seat count,
because the assignment walks two sequences at once and off-by-one is
the obvious failure.
**Done 2026-08-08.** `owner` and `scope` on `ProblemState`, both
`Option`, both `skip_serializing_if = "Option::is_none"` — so a baseline
state serialises **without them** and every recorded scenario's hash is
untouched. Asserted directly, on the JSON.
**`with_variant()` replaces the bare field write.** `state.variant = v`
would leave owners unassigned — **a silently wrong game rather than a
failing one** — so the builder applies the variant's setup and every
driver path goes through it.
## Task: scoped pressure
```task
id: CB-WP-0042-T03
status: done
priority: high
state_hub_task_id: "8426e79c-579e-4aba-a695-381020016206"
```
`H2-A`, at Round End, before the clamp and the DARVO arm check — the same
ordering H1-A needed, and the same trap.
**Controls:**
- **each scope fails on its own**, by mutation: global hitting only the
owner, personal hitting everyone, bond stopping at the owner;
- **`stacking: true` is tested** — two open bond Problems must tick the
network **twice**, and a careless implementation applies it once;
- **Rivalry edges are not traversed.** The delta says Bond only, and a
traversal that follows any relation is the single most likely defect;
- **degree 0 falls back to personal**, which is the branch a test forgets;
- ordering asserted as in CB-WP-0038: pressure before the arm check.
**Done 2026-08-08.** All four named defects mutation-proven:
| mutation | caught by |
|---|---|
| traverse Rivalry edges too | `h2_bond_scope_does_not_traverse_rivalry` |
| stacking applied once | `h2_pressure_stacks_per_problem` |
| degree-0 owner ticks everyone | `h2_a_bond_problem_with_no_bonds_is_personal` |
| personal hits everyone | `h2_pressure_reaches_only_the_scope` |
**The degree-0 mutation missed first**, and that is worth recording: the
fallback lives *inside* `bond_network`, and the first mutation broke the
`None`-owner arm instead — a different branch. It stayed green until the
mutation was aimed at the path the test actually exercises. **A mutation
that misses is not evidence the test works.**
## Task: SOLVE is not restricted by scope
```task
id: CB-WP-0042-T04
status: done
priority: medium
state_hub_task_id: "6606cb3b-733d-486c-9e46-37a2a2b0c2c9"
```
`H2-SOLVE`: any seat with a matching suit may claim; the owner need not be
the solver, and altruistic clearing is **intended**.
**Control:** our engine has no owner concept today, so this is already
true — which makes it a **regression test, not a feature**. T02 adds
ownership, and the risk is that ownership silently becomes a permission.
The test must fail if it does.
**Done 2026-08-08**, and it does: filtering SOLVE to the owner in
`legal_commands` turns it red.
## Task: measure, and report what fails
```task
id: CB-WP-0042-T05
status: done
priority: high
state_hub_task_id: "0bcd97da-60b8-46b2-ae86-7a94f6af8dd5"
```
Same instrument as H1, same panel, both variants in one run.
**Controls:**
- **greedy and `reactive` both**, because H1's whole verdict turned on
which policy was asked (CB-EV-0031);
- **report against ground-game's own criteria** for H2, from their design
note — **read it, do not reuse H1's §3.2 from memory**;
- **the bond-scope hypothesis is the interesting one and must be measured
directly**: their claim is that a shared tick makes a Bond network
*jointly motivated* to solve that card. Whether a policy that does not
model other seats can express that at all is an open question, and the
honest answer may be "our panel cannot test this hypothesis";
- **`make panels` runs it**, or the figures come from an ungated binary
again (CB-REV-0002 #7).
**Done 2026-08-08.**
[CB-EV-0032](../evidence/CB-EV-0032-h2-measured.md). **H2 largely
succeeds where H1 failed.**
| # | their criterion | verdict |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | greedy SHARED 34p above H1's 0 | **met** — 120 and 175 against H1's 0 and 0 |
| 2 | variance above baseline and H1-greedy | **met at 2p/4p/6p, missed at 3p** (1.50 vs 1.57) |
| 3 | DARVO for a policy that still sometimes wins | **met** — H1's clearest failure, now 13/13/57 wins with arms |
| 4 | bond SOLVE rate above personal | **not met, and untestable here** |
| 5 | control: all scopes global → collapse | **met decisively** — 120→0 and 175→0 |
**Criterion 5 is the best evidence in the pass.** Forcing every scope to
`global` and changing nothing else reproduces H1's collapse exactly, which
says the **scoping** is what saves it rather than any other difference
between the packages.
**Criterion 2's mechanism is visible in the numbers**: H1-greedy's spread
is **0.00** at 3p+. A flat tax on every seat creates no variance at all,
which is the clearest statement of why scoping was the right correction.
**Criterion 4 came out backwards, and the prediction held.** The workplan
said our panel might not be able to test it, because no policy here models
another seat or knows what a scope is. Bond claim rates are **lower** than
personal at 3p and 4p — driven by suit availability, not by incentive.
**Reported as untested with an incidental figure pointing the wrong way**,
not as a refutation.
## Not in this workplan
- **No stacking with H1.** The package forbids it explicitly.
- **No felt-play.** H2's central claim is about *motivation* — a bonded
pair caring about each other's card — and 200-game aggregates measure
dynamics, not that ([`Taxonomy.md`](../specs/Taxonomy.md) §4).