123 lines
3.5 KiB
YAML
123 lines
3.5 KiB
YAML
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fluid_hypothesis:
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schema_version: "0.1"
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id: "H-tg-textonly"
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interface_id: "helix-forge-telegram-publishing"
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state: "DRAFT"
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title: "Text alone reaches further than a post constrained by a caption"
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observation:
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summary: >
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Telegram limits a photo caption to 1024 characters, a quarter of the 4096 available to a text message. Attaching a portrait therefore constrains the composition it accompanies, and a post written to 1024 characters is a different piece of writing from one written to 4096.
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evidence_refs:
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- "canon:fluid-telegram/TelegramCapabilityCanon.md#MED-01"
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- "pressure:P-register"
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affected_cohorts:
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- "telegram-subscribers"
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pressure:
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classes:
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- "repeated_expectation_mismatch"
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pressure_refs:
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- "P-register"
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severity: 0.6
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confidence: 0.7
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explanation:
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claim: >
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The scarce resource in a condensed post is room to say something specific. A generated portrait is decorative and interchangeable across entries; a concrete detail about what someone actually did is not. Trading three quarters of the available text for a picture spends the thing that makes a post worth reading on the thing that makes it look like everything else in the feed.
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reach:
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score: 0.4
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explains:
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- "P-register"
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notes: >
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Narrow but clean. It settles one delivery question decisively, and the
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answer transfers to fluid-x and fluid-substack, which face the same
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question under different feeds.
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proposed_adaptation:
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class: "presentation"
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summary: >
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Publish the post as a text message with a link to the source entry, and no attached visual.
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implementation_scope: "interface_only"
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backend_requirements:
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required: false
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requirement_refs: []
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expected_outcomes:
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- metric: "engagement_rate"
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cohort: "telegram-subscribers"
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target: 0.05
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direction: "higher"
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- metric: "source_link_rate"
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cohort: "telegram-subscribers"
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target: 0.02
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direction: "higher"
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guardrails:
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- metric: "unreviewed_publication"
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operator: "=="
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threshold: false
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- metric: "missing_source_attribution"
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operator: "=="
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threshold: false
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- metric: "missing_subject_consent"
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operator: "=="
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threshold: false
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- metric: "error_rate"
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operator: "<="
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threshold: 0.01
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fitness_dimensions:
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expected:
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client_utility: 0.2
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discoverability: 0.3
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simplicity: 0.3
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correctness: 0.0
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security: 0.0
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complexity:
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expected_delta:
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operation_count: 0
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concept_count: 0
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cognitive_load: 0.1
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score: 0.05
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risk:
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level: "LOW"
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reasons:
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- "presentation only; no contract, authorization or consent change"
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- "the simpler arm; nothing to attach and nothing to fail"
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economics:
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estimated_experiment_cost: 0.0
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estimated_implementation_cost: 0.0
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currency: "EUR"
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expected_value_class: "MEDIUM"
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learning_value:
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score: 0.7
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notes: >
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If this wins, the campaign stops producing portraits for publication and spends that effort on the writing instead.
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success_criteria:
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expression: >
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engagement_rate >= 0.05 AND no guardrail violation
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failure_criteria:
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expression: >
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any hard guardrail violation
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OR engagement_rate at or below the rival arm over the same window
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competition:
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group_id: "CG-tg-delivery"
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alternatives:
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- "H-tg-visual"
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outcome:
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status: null
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summary: null
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evidence_refs: []
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