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intelligence-radar/digests/weekly/2026-W40.md
tegwick c4f71a1231 Record reviewed readings of the week-40, week-41, and week-42 briefs. 
Each publication keeps only claims a ledger capture supports. Launch stories, index scores, and Frontier, Efficient, and Budget labels stay excluded.

Assistant: grok
Assistant-Session: 01a1925d-3496-7011-a33e-6bfb99f4f4d3
2026-10-31 17:21:05 +01:00

9.3 KiB
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Radar weekly draft — 2026-W40

Status: draft; editorial review required. Claims retain their reported status.

Selection: event date; observation timestamps below preserve when evidence was received.

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-01T19:37:10.160239+00:00
  • Observation: 00b879077ce969834fa2a27a305c27a25e7bf0d270b2ef1070378d6495fa4d1e

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-03T19:40:54.241977+00:00
  • Observation: 2278ed7ae196a59eef4d8be4c1ec973e2fe8a1f81498453562bbdbfa269e1523

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-02T19:35:48.112849+00:00
  • Observation: 3135b550a67242c404e7803c6ac928075b27170131aa899e505131d22e72f353

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-09-28T19:41:58.952334+00:00
  • Observation: 3b21a0f65b17a255baa13ea0e6a07da3168c25cda723a8d9b3dc0fd6326e1930

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-01T19:02:18.190387+00:00
  • Observation: 50cac88090b6179382c9399e7e3ff829a5b077cc5b691d9d849f086c92f35b6b

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-09-29T19:36:48.049823+00:00
  • Observation: 5ded19f47c49e85904fa47bf3f09ed87ace13c63658bf9adbd429a71bc9142c1

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-02T19:35:46.797180+00:00
  • Observation: 8948f62cbb54438d03070a097c10bb50c34062e2a1d299cad7cef299fa4a676a

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-01T19:02:16.651147+00:00
  • Observation: 8a041ee5f85bf2e72a431f6d8748d54206f30ac8adf9d1470a6f0441c4e27afb

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-03T19:40:53.043182+00:00
  • Observation: 904ac4b16bcdedd6415d905a6674b4b29ac2ef37578fea7af1b3bc0f12e3fce0

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-09-29T19:36:49.276666+00:00
  • Observation: 909bb27aff837b4e13e6467706fe90bc90a26313495f1b0436051b759eb57689

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-01T19:37:09.117928+00:00
  • Observation: a952266a7592ed87b203aedce8d4df7aae36623cab10708a795740001fda5d2e

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-04T18:00:50.863122+00:00
  • Observation: a976bef54d4c0d5e9718daa6051d5ddd1aaecbe730498c40f720bb39f02a8f05

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-03T19:40:53.529637+00:00
  • Observation: afe16b5392a8b0c215a3ad72deba938dd6f694e02fd87b788ea6cc679278a223

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-04T18:00:52.185434+00:00
  • Observation: c0c3c4b6d982ff8e89e0f917c9bc87536bdfee6a99e7ab0c183635fea106a95d

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-09-29T19:36:48.432595+00:00
  • Observation: cb826441407ed40068f1e2c9b5f8b19f496a807d921e8cf47e119c4adfddf1da

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-09-28T19:41:57.910567+00:00
  • Observation: ddff3000948b7370e209b9de9d28d3735b984fabbf36fcccb06da128a6e58e9f

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-09-28T19:41:58.299313+00:00
  • Observation: e869e72b634ba36c8f1726899a1306d136a055e7c06c74bea6427a734f65b31a

Reviewed reading

The Grok week-40 brief is retained at digests/external/weekly/2026-W40-grok.md and stays unverified as a whole. The pass against ledger captures is publication b7a2614df227142c610e1402f2e0f7d84c62ef48bbb1a503af1d072159149d0a, which supersedes 4f36132f5fb9bc60aaaf44bbf8ed675a8f8048c01cd2f16107ba1419c26a85b8.

Included from captures: Sonnet 5.5 is absent on the 27 September Sonnet page and present on 28 September at $2 / $10 per million tokens, with API id claude-sonnet-5-5 and US-only inference at 1.1×. The 4 October Sonnet page still shows it on Claude.ai and the named clouds, and says it needs far fewer tokens than Sonnet 5. The 4 October pricing page agrees on $2 / $10, lists cache read $0.20, and lists Opus 5.5 at $4 / $20, Fable 5.1 at $10 / $50, and Haiku 4.5 rather than Haiku 5.5. OpenRouter first lists openai/gpt-6.1-sol on 29 September. On 4 October it lists Sonnet 5.5 and GPT-6.1 Sol at the same per-token fields, and it lists neither gpt-6.1-astra nor an argon id.

Left out: Artificial Analysis scores and the $7.60 task cost, the OpenAI launch post and the Astra-hold report, Gemini 4 Argon, Epoch's index, the White House accord, ARC Prize scores, and the compendium proposals. Frontier, Efficient, and Budget are not assigned. frontier/ledger-2026-09.md is unchanged. Price readings from the pricing page are in frontier/readings-2026-W40.md.

Editorial follow-up

Source-update sections above remain unextracted change notices. This pass does not make the external brief a belief.