tegwick
3fb1f5b443
The compendium keeps the digest. The exploration notes live in nudges/ and are not work records. Assistant: grok Assistant-Session: 01a106a5-fc07-78c2-b64f-8e04cea25daf
80 lines
4.5 KiB
Markdown
80 lines
4.5 KiB
Markdown
> Imported exploration, 2026-09-13. Source claims have not been independently verified by this repository. See [integration review](../docs/integration-review.md).
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# Watchlist — original outlets and thinkers
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Version 0.1 · 13 September 2026
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Daily monitoring prefers **primary outlets**. Commentary is used to find primaries, not as the record.
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## A. Labs and model builders (primary)
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- OpenAI — research, product, preparedness, system cards
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- Anthropic — research, alignment, economic index, model cards
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- Google DeepMind / Google AI — Gemini, science models, weather/bio
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- xAI — Grok model cards and API docs
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- Meta Superintelligence Labs / Meta AI — Muse Spark, Llama, research
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- Mistral, Cohere
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- DeepSeek, Alibaba Qwen, Moonshot Kimi, Z.ai / Zhipu GLM, MiniMax, Tencent Hunyuan, Thinking Machines
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- Cognition, Adept-class agent firms, World Labs, Pathway (architecture outliers)
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- Recursive and You.com — added 2026-10-04 as discovery routes for Richard Socher's scientific-AI claims. A company mission is not a measurement. See `compendium/04-socher-eureka-machine.md`.
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## B. Measurement houses (primary for the ledger)
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- Artificial Analysis
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- Epoch AI (benchmarks, ECI, compute/data trackers)
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- ARC Prize
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- SWE-bench / Terminal-Bench / OSWorld maintainers
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- Stanford HAI AI Index, HELM
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- LMSYS / Arena (preference, not task success)
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- BenchLM, UnifyBench, and other evidence-tracing boards (secondary corroboration)
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## C. Science of intelligence (primary)
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- arXiv cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.CL, q-bio.NC; Nature / Science / Neuron / Nat. Commun. when they land
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- Cognitive science venues (Psychological Science, Cognitive Science, Daedalus intelligence issues)
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- NeuroAI programs: Wang-style foundational brain models, connectomics, PFC control
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- Tenenbaum / Ganguli / Gonzalez complementary-intelligence lines
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- Papers With Code only as an index, not as a source of truth
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## D. Hardware, systems, energy
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- NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC, ASML, Huawei Ascend coverage from primary filings
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- Hyperscaler capex letters (MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, META, ORCL)
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- National compute plans (US, EU, CN, IN, Gulf)
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## E. Economy, firms, markets
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- Lab blogs + The Information / Semafor / Bloomberg for deal flow (verify)
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- Earnings transcripts
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- Pricing pages and status dashboards (availability is data)
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## F. Politics, law, regulation
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- Official texts: US executive orders and agency rules, EU AI Act implementing acts, China interim measures, UK AISI / DSIT, OECD, UN
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- Court dockets on copyright, product liability, export controls
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- Preparedness / safety institute evaluations (US AISI, EU equivalents, independent red teams)
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## G. Thinkers to read in the original (not the clip)
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Keep the list short and rotate. Current standing set:
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**Builders / research leads:** Dario Amodei, Demis Hassabis, Shane Legg, Ilya Sutskever, Noam Brown, Jared Kaplan, Jack Clark, Sepp Hochreiter, Yann LeCun, Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Fei-Fei Li, Oriol Vinyals, Chelsea Finn, Jim Fan, John Schulman-class post-training leads, Moonshot / DeepSeek / Qwen chief scientists when they publish. Richard Socher, added 2026-10-04: read the papers and *The Eureka Machine* in the original. Secondary summaries, including the operator's Gemini notes, are discovery aids.
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**Measurement / forecasting:** Epoch AI authors, Artificial Analysis, ARC Prize (Chollet and successors), METR / eval orgs, Ajeya Cotra–class compute forecasts, Stanford HAI index leads.
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**Cognitive science / NeuroAI:** Joshua Tenenbaum, Surya Ganguli, Xiao-Jing Wang, Karl Friston (predictive processing — track influence, do not endorse), Nancy Kanwisher / Ev Fedorenko language-brain line, Anne Collins / Tom Griffiths resource-rational line.
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**Political economy / law:** Jack Clark (Import AI), Helen Toner–class policy, EU and US agency technical staff papers, competition-authority reports.
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**Public squares (secondary, high noise):** X accounts of the above; Hacker News; LessWrong / Alignment Forum only when a primary artifact is linked.
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## H. Daily scan order (30–40 minutes of model time)
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1. Lab blogs + X posts from standing thinkers that link a primary
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2. Artificial Analysis / Epoch / ARC / agent-bench leaderboards for *deltas*
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3. arXiv cs.AI/LG frontpage + Nature/Science news
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4. Regulator and court feeds
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5. Pricing/status/capacity incidents
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6. One pass of quality press to catch missed primaries (MIT TR, Ars, The Information, Axios, Semafor, ThursdAI release log)
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Reject: product roundups with no source, leaked slides without corroboration, “AGI declared” quotes without a measurement.
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