intelligence-radar/digests/weekly/2026-W40.md
tegwick c4f71a1231 Record reviewed readings of the week-40, week-41, and week-42 briefs.
Each publication keeps only claims a ledger capture supports. Launch stories, index scores, and Frontier, Efficient, and Budget labels stay excluded.

Assistant: grok
Assistant-Session: 01a1925d-3496-7011-a33e-6bfb99f4f4d3
2026-10-31 17:21:05 +01:00

224 lines
9.3 KiB
Markdown
Raw Blame History

This file contains ambiguous Unicode characters

This file contains Unicode characters that might be confused with other characters. If you think that this is intentional, you can safely ignore this warning. Use the Escape button to reveal them.

# Radar weekly draft — 2026-W40
Status: draft; editorial review required. Claims retain their reported status.
Selection: event date; observation timestamps below preserve when evidence was received.
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-01T19:37:10.160239+00:00
- Observation: 00b879077ce969834fa2a27a305c27a25e7bf0d270b2ef1070378d6495fa4d1e
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-09-28T19:41:58.657003+00:00
- Observation: 02f2966244693757e3045d99518a1e9feca9268436ca97ee098175b259dc8132
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-10-03T19:40:53.921618+00:00
- Observation: 0be8d3b71f34b654fef557a7e47445e4c2677e2a58605bf05979079b4be88979
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-09-29T19:36:48.918452+00:00
- Observation: 152f0c1be1c008c56caeb3e612f43e9df9682c2cfd4fe84e6caeff0a6ad145ca
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-03T19:40:54.241977+00:00
- Observation: 2278ed7ae196a59eef4d8be4c1ec973e2fe8a1f81498453562bbdbfa269e1523
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-10-02T19:35:47.781026+00:00
- Observation: 2b34d8313c14f73a5ae088e82b1fff66ae20cd9069ba379bdeabcaac9c11e7cd
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-02T19:35:48.112849+00:00
- Observation: 3135b550a67242c404e7803c6ac928075b27170131aa899e505131d22e72f353
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-09-28T19:41:58.952334+00:00
- Observation: 3b21a0f65b17a255baa13ea0e6a07da3168c25cda723a8d9b3dc0fd6326e1930
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-01T19:02:18.190387+00:00
- Observation: 50cac88090b6179382c9399e7e3ff829a5b077cc5b691d9d849f086c92f35b6b
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-09-29T19:36:48.049823+00:00
- Observation: 5ded19f47c49e85904fa47bf3f09ed87ace13c63658bf9adbd429a71bc9142c1
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-10-04T18:00:51.811863+00:00
- Observation: 691a76fa19085f6e04c66eef16f590b26c172ba71b665653a2e765be28adfa26
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-02T19:35:46.797180+00:00
- Observation: 8948f62cbb54438d03070a097c10bb50c34062e2a1d299cad7cef299fa4a676a
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-01T19:02:16.651147+00:00
- Observation: 8a041ee5f85bf2e72a431f6d8748d54206f30ac8adf9d1470a6f0441c4e27afb
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-03T19:40:53.043182+00:00
- Observation: 904ac4b16bcdedd6415d905a6674b4b29ac2ef37578fea7af1b3bc0f12e3fce0
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-09-29T19:36:49.276666+00:00
- Observation: 909bb27aff837b4e13e6467706fe90bc90a26313495f1b0436051b759eb57689
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-01T19:37:09.117928+00:00
- Observation: a952266a7592ed87b203aedce8d4df7aae36623cab10708a795740001fda5d2e
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-04T18:00:50.863122+00:00
- Observation: a976bef54d4c0d5e9718daa6051d5ddd1aaecbe730498c40f720bb39f02a8f05
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
- Observed: 2026-10-03T19:40:53.529637+00:00
- Observation: afe16b5392a8b0c215a3ad72deba938dd6f694e02fd87b788ea6cc679278a223
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-10-01T19:02:17.792867+00:00
- Observation: b20721c185fb547e9d77a7472a2d83e3b4a9d96d81356eb8038a35f9ca87f784
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-04T18:00:52.185434+00:00
- Observation: c0c3c4b6d982ff8e89e0f917c9bc87536bdfee6a99e7ab0c183635fea106a95d
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
- Observed: 2026-09-29T19:36:48.432595+00:00
- Observation: cb826441407ed40068f1e2c9b5f8b19f496a807d921e8cf47e119c4adfddf1da
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-09-28T19:41:57.910567+00:00
- Observation: ddff3000948b7370e209b9de9d28d3735b984fabbf36fcccb06da128a6e58e9f
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
- Observed: 2026-09-28T19:41:58.299313+00:00
- Observation: e869e72b634ba36c8f1726899a1306d136a055e7c06c74bea6427a734f65b31a
## Reviewed reading
The Grok week-40 brief is retained at `digests/external/weekly/2026-W40-grok.md` and stays unverified as a whole. The pass against ledger captures is publication `b7a2614df227142c610e1402f2e0f7d84c62ef48bbb1a503af1d072159149d0a`, which supersedes `4f36132f5fb9bc60aaaf44bbf8ed675a8f8048c01cd2f16107ba1419c26a85b8`.
Included from captures: Sonnet 5.5 is absent on the 27 September Sonnet page and present on 28 September at $2 / $10 per million tokens, with API id `claude-sonnet-5-5` and US-only inference at 1.1×. The 4 October Sonnet page still shows it on Claude.ai and the named clouds, and says it needs far fewer tokens than Sonnet 5. The 4 October pricing page agrees on $2 / $10, lists cache read $0.20, and lists Opus 5.5 at $4 / $20, Fable 5.1 at $10 / $50, and Haiku 4.5 rather than Haiku 5.5. OpenRouter first lists `openai/gpt-6.1-sol` on 29 September. On 4 October it lists Sonnet 5.5 and GPT-6.1 Sol at the same per-token fields, and it lists neither `gpt-6.1-astra` nor an argon id.
Left out: Artificial Analysis scores and the $7.60 task cost, the OpenAI launch post and the Astra-hold report, Gemini 4 Argon, Epoch's index, the White House accord, ARC Prize scores, and the compendium proposals. Frontier, Efficient, and Budget are not assigned. `frontier/ledger-2026-09.md` is unchanged. Price readings from the pricing page are in `frontier/readings-2026-W40.md`.
## Editorial follow-up
Source-update sections above remain unextracted change notices. This pass does not make the external brief a belief.