intelligence-radar/digests/weekly/2026-W41.md
tegwick c4f71a1231 Record reviewed readings of the week-40, week-41, and week-42 briefs.
Each publication keeps only claims a ledger capture supports. Launch stories, index scores, and Frontier, Efficient, and Budget labels stay excluded.

Assistant: grok
Assistant-Session: 01a1925d-3496-7011-a33e-6bfb99f4f4d3
2026-10-31 17:21:05 +01:00

8.9 KiB

Radar weekly draft — 2026-W41

Status: draft; editorial review required. Claims retain their reported status.

Selection: event date; observation timestamps below preserve when evidence was received.

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-08T19:30:44.799701+00:00
  • Observation: 018880c358f38605d58e1da53fe48963dff0cb7f7707583fbcda4f37cc9c4629

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-06T19:40:17.556179+00:00
  • Observation: 17f66ea3112d8ffdc64509be10b8be1fe72b7ae150168d27e79cf42b2b38e863

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-11T18:14:50.634245+00:00
  • Observation: 1b5c891fe0f0a33c087919f2fdc0d445f1f8763d723a3ffa751113e7ef451e74

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-08T19:30:45.642645+00:00
  • Observation: 2fd1d1eb73bacfd097f658af1b16a3bce1b7858a05a03f12ba9f9a05f93af3bd

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-09T21:50:55.193555+00:00
  • Observation: 3a15a373b862b026baa8bba12ef03784bd2fe61baaa30f208cd5eb0705e4c3d9

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-10T19:30:08.834164+00:00
  • Observation: 3c1ba4571bcebfbf693eb1169402d0872b9b4d0a2b278d6fdb2a434a5ec1ab2a

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-08T19:30:44.239190+00:00
  • Observation: 497fa9e0b62d8e0091701e5bce4b5dd63dbc491b04a7fbc22be790d459d0f3fc

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-05T21:58:29.781448+00:00
  • Observation: 4a4734c1f604f683b3605dac6bb1660bd664d39200fc135e49e98b91ac006405

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-09T21:50:54.532367+00:00
  • Observation: 5f40968eb13eb900ddb08bc0a9f148deccd43e82bb104c0f570ccf2ab222fe53

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-10T19:30:07.511858+00:00
  • Observation: 63f330f883d2dd38769b5a0757dd10ae025ff3029e5e5a8554fc735d0ba3d9cb

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-11T18:14:55.184046+00:00
  • Observation: 8d2a47c900279a053f5f609ff61a7c858362980867c655b7afaf080a5600a723

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-06T19:40:17.925352+00:00
  • Observation: 9396b2d449e669f7c3041db8842f20784ec2946a965c29eaa27e372d68ab2380

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-09T21:50:53.882080+00:00
  • Observation: 9907f8a27d447f7b77de9121b2c32547b4c1b905d897c38d5b676771ce036c20

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-06T19:40:18.685462+00:00
  • Observation: 9ae9d121730763d1c6b1790a0f3da8d408475328f3c94eeebfd0c70ee0acc5f2

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-05T21:58:25.717880+00:00
  • Observation: 9dcb739b3b7a1d582739d7ae8e308de1553b040613efe4db9db72d1bbb54e9bb

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-07T19:44:36.325464+00:00
  • Observation: bd31968c4f7235fd89847dd60b19d87c801cf60e75c0be630e84baf3591697d5

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-07T19:44:35.108851+00:00
  • Observation: eebb93f9599d83c9f98e0a9d57dafdc25390c0e8a1e5688ed55257f5889cb253

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-07T19:44:35.676090+00:00
  • Observation: f5469fa1d0b1015497afbfcab81641a4fe3fa5868a0e8786dadca7360f53ac5b

Reviewed reading

The Grok week-41 brief is retained at digests/external/weekly/2026-W41-grok.md and stays unverified as a whole. The pass against ledger captures is publication ae08625ddf94184bbbd716be73d5e2debac28948a6fe6817bbb302fc278942c7, which supersedes 08b39af20eef61d36593b4ce4e4a83235184fd689f8ce31c27a48b31fe0c0abf.

Included from captures: the 6 October pricing page has no Haiku 5.5 and lists Sonnet 5.5 cache read at $0.20 per million tokens. The 7 October page lists Haiku 5.5 at $0.10 / $0.50 per million for prompts up to 100,000 tokens and $0.50 / $2.50 above that, and it lists Sonnet 5.5 cache read at $0.10. Haiku 4.5 stays on the legacy table at $1 / $5. Those Haiku 5.5 rates are still on the 11 October page. OpenRouter has no Mistral Large 4 or Haiku 5.5 row on 5 October, lists Mistral Large 4 on 6 October at context 524288, lists Haiku 5.5 on 7 October at context 1000000, and shows Mistral Large 4 at context 1048576 from 8 October through 11 October. Prompt and completion fields for Mistral Large 4 stay 0.00000068 and 0.00000209.

Left out: the unintended-actions report, the mathematics manuscripts, the ChatGPT rollout, the Nadella essay, the revenue figures, the Super Intelligence Force, the 75% and 90% run-cost sentences, the lab benchmark percentages, Epoch, and Artificial Analysis. Frontier, Efficient, and Budget are not assigned. Price readings are in frontier/readings-2026-W41.md.

Editorial follow-up

Source-update sections above remain unextracted change notices. This pass does not make the external brief a belief.