intelligence-radar/digests/weekly/2026-W42.md
tegwick c4f71a1231 Record reviewed readings of the week-40, week-41, and week-42 briefs.
Each publication keeps only claims a ledger capture supports. Launch stories, index scores, and Frontier, Efficient, and Budget labels stay excluded.

Assistant: grok
Assistant-Session: 01a1925d-3496-7011-a33e-6bfb99f4f4d3
2026-10-31 17:21:05 +01:00

206 lines
9.1 KiB
Markdown

# Radar weekly draft — 2026-W42
Status: draft; editorial review required. Claims retain their reported status.
Selection: event date; observation timestamps below preserve when evidence was received.
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-13T19:44:39.920711+00:00
- Observation: 1ec713ffd5c3b9d1c6b69e80165f88d750484c386b345af5d7685f796401e14e
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-14T19:41:52.354548+00:00
- Observation: 2389ed3436be40ebfe7623a12237011b7e3c1c8b8a66ba7ddb7f3fdc9f44f332
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-15T19:45:35.164444+00:00
- Observation: 509c6d2f9ef38873dafc764c289c8366a6469ef2787ada2cdae5c6b14737fa1e
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
- Observed: 2026-10-17T19:45:20.978453+00:00
- Observation: 5a0990146f5324bbca7f9f3c83c3e0bc715882f08f941f7b9b70ed19c85a2a53
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-13T19:44:41.004578+00:00
- Observation: 6134d5f74281d2b4edc20fec929f0342e784b41092295507de02aecf9da6cad4
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-10-15T19:45:34.852239+00:00
- Observation: 68123c978e1463b3d6fad3af1a6e7afd32a1b6b508b00d0010e93d29ca93b456
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-10-18T18:17:33.976315+00:00
- Observation: 6aa0340ab85916ec82a8b46989e65a432077431568e85f003d2fe652a61b7751
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-10-14T19:41:51.962880+00:00
- Observation: 7259bc213499fac3514dd6a44b93f40258b2eddce52aeb45fe162106140110ec
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
- Observed: 2026-10-16T19:35:21.676052+00:00
- Observation: 774cfee6cbc8572c05aa3d1b94e9d720600a38db0f69f913b8ebc1db143e4562
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-17T19:45:19.741173+00:00
- Observation: 7958d9c678094fc8a05fdf7170bb878bd82a07cf5bd4fd38ee79b6179b59c22c
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-18T18:17:33.030204+00:00
- Observation: 7f0279150ce7c25d7b86915282ca0a745bd56a5e0ff829f96018cdccc2b86d29
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-14T19:41:51.219568+00:00
- Observation: 8b763a8e8032749bd758923138d816353571db88dde92eb91812daef7bf46b0d
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-16T19:35:22.220162+00:00
- Observation: 8ca61a5cefa5a6cdc1c602d49482e1cad5a44be9b2f20b8eb55ff7ea16baf1a4
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-17T19:45:21.656959+00:00
- Observation: 966d101fc0c5dcb227f3b5cd6a529a79cf44ddead33310598b67361063c349e0
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-18T18:17:34.325990+00:00
- Observation: a69d7945be58fea1709c9613a050ccd2f81495f286f1576ee62b1f2be134eb3c
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-15T19:45:33.862443+00:00
- Observation: c12f5401f114dfb1ddffcd8646673ba8075c5ac8d93b79d0752b5d56b401987a
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
- Observed: 2026-10-16T19:35:21.299555+00:00
- Observation: cc5a8984ca597f500a3e04667106996d9db1f81c480e1226c14b1c99b9afbf7b
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-16T19:35:20.443248+00:00
- Observation: d6a53cca1039fb3403d4fe24bd8f4002465b7f80b0e9b30dfc6d923932c204a3
## Source update: anthropic-sonnet
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
- Observed: 2026-10-14T19:41:51.659216+00:00
- Observation: daf2ce8582925988a65a729f2cab42e086cc258318b1c9de810461e7d57990cc
## Source update: openrouter-models
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
- Observed: 2026-10-12T20:59:59.255338+00:00
- Observation: f50a547669a562b6de92d74713e8a98275b928e5c7494b75e201f2a257cd4ee6
## Source update: anthropic-pricing
Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.
- Status: reported; source kind: primary
- Source: https://claude.com/pricing
- Observed: 2026-10-12T20:59:57.926222+00:00
- Observation: fd3ec2ab228f8706f4faba0d1df8141285ef447246e4e2f5bf6aa2c1868d2ae3
## Reviewed reading
The Grok week-42 brief is retained at `digests/external/weekly/2026-W42-grok.md` and stays unverified as a whole. The pass against ledger captures is publication `db9e3a7068329a605daee94cc0429706d0aedfaeb42c4f167b88d21483783339`.
Included from captures: the 11 October OpenRouter capture lists neither `meta/muse-wonder`, nor `google/gemini-4-argon`, nor `meta/muse-spark-open`. The 12 October capture lists `meta/muse-wonder` at context 1048576, prompt `0.000004` and completion `0.00002` per token, and that file's only wonder id is `meta/muse-wonder`. The 13 October capture lists `google/gemini-4-argon` at prompt `0.000002` and completion `0.00001`, and the batch id at prompt `0.000001` and completion `0.000005`. The 15 October capture lists `meta/muse-spark-open` at context 1048576, prompt `0.00000125` and completion `0.00000425`; the 14 October capture does not list that id. The 17 October capture lists `deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017` at prompt `0.00000015` and completion `0.0000006`, with weekday windows at prompt `0.0000003` and completion `0.0000012`; the 16 October capture does not list that id. The 18 October OpenRouter capture lists those same prompt and completion fields. The 18 October pricing capture lists Haiku 5.5 at $0.10 / $0.50 and $0.50 / $2.50 per million tokens and Sonnet 5.5 at $2 / $10 with cache read $0.10. Its visible text does not contain Argon, Muse, or DeepSeek. The Sonnet page text gained the line "Claude for Google Workspace". That line is outside the brief.
Left out: the Muse Wonder Full launch story and the index scores, the Argon shipping story and the later $4 / $20 rate, METR access, the China draft, the workforce report, the Super Intelligence Force, the ARC Prize scores, the Spark Open parameter and hardware claims, the revenue figure, and the court and regulator items. Frontier, Efficient, and Budget are not assigned. Price readings are in `frontier/readings-2026-W42.md`.
## Editorial follow-up
Source-update sections above remain unextracted change notices. This pass does not make the external brief a belief.