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intelligence-radar/digests/weekly/2026-W43.md
tegwick 37b19d7544 Retain scheduled captures from 2026-10-21 through 2026-10-30 and the reviewed readings. 
The daily drafts and weeks 43 and 44 now record the Ultra plan wording and the OpenRouter catalog changes. The September frontier ledger is unchanged.

Assistant: grok
Assistant-Session: 01a1925d-3496-7011-a33e-6bfb99f4f4d3
2026-10-31 16:25:22 +01:00

10 KiB
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Radar weekly draft — 2026-W43

Status: draft; editorial review required. Claims retain their reported status.

Selection: event date; observation timestamps below preserve when evidence was received.

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-23T19:38:49.225480+00:00
  • Observation: 039864ba218b8c389641953d8ecc949f023fd7abbd94a5e70adadc5d5744e11c

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-24T19:39:28.639567+00:00
  • Observation: 0b21a831a307fbe548acde0750eb9a997db9708e8dbd85a2902375596e93163b

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-21T19:35:46.251561+00:00
  • Observation: 0cdbe851f0a2ec8e684bddcb89f1236a0aeb702c0fdac891f4de84f6eee2561b

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-24T19:39:28.144188+00:00
  • Observation: 19e33c33bd98730f664507e1d8d283a0ba767d1f6770dbb972003ecbd0cce5b5

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-24T19:39:29.279848+00:00
  • Observation: 1c0fe327a66f2ff7638b2ca15d3e32931b2d88b3ae80dc7c18847d929be9641c

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-20T19:38:32.953680+00:00
  • Observation: 3c509dee183f76ac0ffd18550507dab146e6042628bc7481ac2a8aa4bb5f4a12

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-22T19:38:10.519737+00:00
  • Observation: 684649f888773b3b335af9842f1483b5c95a4b55601a089a4098ab5b94b93ad6

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-20T19:38:32.380117+00:00
  • Observation: 6a2b2cf7bb14445196abc8436cd03d0b7cb233a816849801d4f2ebe5e1ebc60a

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-21T19:35:45.188694+00:00
  • Observation: 7f78113200ed99dec310e01d6f8ab8fef5e5636e60583081ea22046e58fba7c3

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-23T19:38:50.270113+00:00
  • Observation: 858f2f8c279a4fc7942e386f03f05a3c701797905076740067128aeecb6f6efc

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-21T19:35:45.545614+00:00
  • Observation: 9ceadfd91db17bc8b4776757e80ffe090e1d31066d9b4c517a7619b1dd256e7a

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-22T19:38:10.051000+00:00
  • Observation: a6c3e46e921060d360830f9c0e79d6f5498f62e5c76c9f6803b5ef6fe99ccec1

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-19T19:36:27.673824+00:00
  • Observation: ad2a2c05a563536ee1bce69dfa5b2176da6abc95f333161c551c20a064ef84b2

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-20T19:38:33.647250+00:00
  • Observation: b5094fb2e6983e255430d9b5ef4d871d218d4c273738d8ec49e7470134563151

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-19T19:36:25.481585+00:00
  • Observation: bc15464b075eb2b3c04d73364daa2e473f49b94626e7ecb111e7cf32f20675cc

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-25T19:33:34.033425+00:00
  • Observation: c6381a3b07458d2deb3ba1f5f914cf9aa116fe3953f49edf9e0b7d12f81134a0

Source update: anthropic-pricing

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://claude.com/pricing
  • Observed: 2026-10-25T19:33:33.470457+00:00
  • Observation: d342cf8f9c9e79674164a723745147d2144c9c37b47791a098777ddb7fe3b300

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-22T19:38:11.136059+00:00
  • Observation: da5957d047ebb748cd1abb765d4478d4480e212b63140b3e7292d85f2a98047e

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-sonnet

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://www.anthropic.com/claude/sonnet
  • Observed: 2026-10-23T19:38:49.680433+00:00
  • Observation: e052541c35290cdfac73c9c03d092b92c4b09f39121e9ad8de6ff463155c9ef0

Source update: openrouter-models

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

  • Status: reported; source kind: primary
  • Source: https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/models
  • Observed: 2026-10-25T19:33:34.734109+00:00
  • Observation: e74c0cdad9a2498eaaee0510879457d9af5958246f0bd48d76f2c3ad268bab9d

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Source update: anthropic-sonnet-launch

Source content was captured or changed. Extracted claims require editorial review.

Reviewed reading

Week 43 is Monday 19 October through Sunday 25 October. The Anthropic pricing page still showed Max 5x and Max 20x on every capture in this week. The Ultra wording begins on 30 October and is filed in week 44.

OpenRouter membership that first appeared this week:

  • 22 October: MiniMax M3.1 Flash and Recursive Flint (free) added; the M3.1 Flash free id and Gemini 2.5 Flash Lite batch id removed. 9c655f2f661980568a1386f4683e62e98e9c8b141a797377c27c7db11dee845e
  • 23 October: Kimi K3.1 Pro added. c4780101d764e78289c98b74b92423bc0434e23244097c6fead5d00ca3e508bb
  • 24 October: three GPT-3.5 Turbo ids removed. d56c7f465ac750d6462597528e776aa6dce82fe15edb561504acf7dbbad78d4f
  • 25 October: LFM2.5-2.6B added. 30bf07927ac84e23aeec281c2807b8060d95c7868c86bba1bbe0b82f50de1ffe

Prompt and completion fields moved by large factors on 21–25 October, and later captures reversed many of those moves. No stable price was filed inside this week. The 20-to-30 October endpoint comparison is f89f102c67d1ad25ccc8e54e9f7bfd0674fefb37d6d5d602b034f170e1318b82.

Editorial follow-up

No compendium edit. No frontier-ledger patch. Source-update sections above remain unextracted change notices. 25 October had captures and, before this pass, no daily draft; that draft now exists.