assembly-economics/models
tegwick a13e5dde64 Calibration v0.7: AR market concentration measured (GFDD top-10 57-80 %), AR adoption growth narrowed (1.36-1.65) by OWID/Microsoft relative signal
AR k 2.00 -> 2.18; 51/51 targets in range, 43 measured. Readings R1-R4,
cross-border, world and export verdicts unchanged. dematerialization.md
regenerated (was stale). ASSEMBLY-WP-0015-T06 stays wait for a firm-level
second AR point and a current S&P/BYMA constituent file.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

Assistant: claude-code
Assistant-Model: opus
Assistant-Process: 193986@bnt-lap001
Assistant-Session: 585bfbea-320e-47b3-8c0e-bc1513a53307
2026-10-19 15:12:26 +02:00
..
AdoptionBand.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0017-T01: sentiment reference sig_ref (BR-009 resolved); calibrated pipeline re-run; matching loop weights ≈ 0.5 2026-10-13 21:14:14 +02:00
Calibration.md Calibration v0.7: AR market concentration measured (GFDD top-10 57-80 %), AR adoption growth narrowed (1.36-1.65) by OWID/Microsoft relative signal 2026-10-19 15:12:26 +02:00
CrossBorder.md Close loose ends: WP-0018 finished (T04 capture link tested, T05 reference-model decision), WP-0016 finished (J4 from China data), WP-0014 blocked (owner declaration + grant v2 confirmed; waits on rein-aharness publisher and 2027), WP-0015 blocked (EU Pm measured, noise calibrated; AR data and Q4 2026 data pending); Calibration v0.6 2026-10-14 02:31:02 +02:00
GADM-0.2.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T05: attention recalibration and 2x2x2 organism grid 2026-10-12 07:34:59 +02:00
GADM-0.3-Candidates.md Implement ASSEMBLY-WP-0004: GADM-0.2 model, simulation, scenarios, sensitivity 2026-10-12 00:43:53 +02:00
GADM-0.3.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0006-T01: durable human capability (GADM-0.4) 2026-10-12 08:24:34 +02:00
GADM-0.4.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0006-T05: agency per cohort; finish WP-0006; add WP-0008 2026-10-12 09:37:43 +02:00
GADM-0.5.md Close loose ends: WP-0018 finished (T04 capture link tested, T05 reference-model decision), WP-0016 finished (J4 from China data), WP-0014 blocked (owner declaration + grant v2 confirmed; waits on rein-aharness publisher and 2027), WP-0015 blocked (EU Pm measured, noise calibrated; AR data and Q4 2026 data pending); Calibration v0.6 2026-10-14 02:31:02 +02:00
GADM-CLD.md Implement ASSEMBLY-WP-0004: GADM-0.2 model, simulation, scenarios, sensitivity 2026-10-12 00:43:53 +02:00
GADM-Sectors-Scope.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0006-T06: scope sectors and goods; add ASSEMBLY-WP-0007 2026-10-12 08:41:25 +02:00
GenerativeAssemblyDynamicsModel.md Integrate seed artifacts: promote concept digest and GADM-0.1, add ASSEMBLY-WP-0003 2026-10-12 00:18:50 +02:00
InformationOrganismsInGADM.md Complete ASSEMBLY-WP-0003; add GADM organism mapping, glossary, ASSEMBLY-WP-0004 2026-10-12 00:22:39 +02:00
ParameterGrounding.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0007-T03: endogenous selection weights (capture slow; robust capture/de-capture; no material VFAC effect); T04 opened as two-good demand split 2026-10-13 23:15:04 +02:00
README.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T01/T02: adoption band B1-B4 and probe across it 2026-10-12 10:58:47 +02:00

Models

Formal and dynamic models for assembly-economics. Like concepts/, these are exploratory: they generate hypotheses and are not established results.

Documents

Document Status Source
GenerativeAssemblyDynamicsModel.md GADM-0.1 (promoted verbatim) seed/GenerativeAssemblyDynamicsModel.md
InformationOrganismsInGADM.md mapping note v0.1 ASSEMBLY-WP-0003-T03; input for GADM-0.2 (ASSEMBLY-WP-0004)
GADM-CLD.md v0.1 causal-loop diagram, loops, signed link table (ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-T01/T02)
GADM-0.2.md GADM-0.2 extensions decision, equations, scenario and sensitivity findings (ASSEMBLY-WP-0004)
GADM-0.3.md GADM-0.3 power channels (P1/P2) wealth separated from power (P3), attention recalibration, organism grid, life-cycle cohorts (ASSEMBLY-WP-0005)
GADM-0.4.md GADM-0.4 durable capability, grounded organism depreciation, global sensitivity, equilibrium start, cohort agency (ASSEMBLY-WP-0006)
GADM-Sectors-Scope.md scoping rival/non-rival goods, ecological classes, sectors, selection mechanisms (ASSEMBLY-WP-0006-T06 → ASSEMBLY-WP-0007)
AdoptionBand.md v0.1 adoption band B1–B4 and probe of all scenarios across it (ASSEMBLY-WP-0009)
ParameterGrounding.md v0.2 which parameters are grounded, bracketed, assumed or calibrated
GADM-0.3-Candidates.md outline life-cycle and power extensions, deferred items (ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-T08)

Conventions

  • Every document opens with a provenance comment that names its source and the task that created it.
  • Model versions use the model's own scheme (GADM-0.1, GADM-0.2, …). Bump on changes to stocks, flows, or causal structure.
  • Simulations that implement a model live in simulations/ and name the model version they implement.