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tegwick a13e5dde64 Calibration v0.7: AR market concentration measured (GFDD top-10 57-80 %), AR adoption growth narrowed (1.36-1.65) by OWID/Microsoft relative signal 
AR k 2.00 -> 2.18; 51/51 targets in range, 43 measured. Readings R1-R4,
cross-border, world and export verdicts unchanged. dematerialization.md
regenerated (was stale). ASSEMBLY-WP-0015-T06 stays wait for a firm-level
second AR point and a current S&P/BYMA constituent file.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

Assistant: claude-code
Assistant-Model: opus
Assistant-Process: 193986@bnt-lap001
Assistant-Session: 585bfbea-320e-47b3-8c0e-bc1513a53307
2026-10-19 15:12:26 +02:00
..
ASSEMBLY-WP-0001-statehub-bootstrap.md Close ASSEMBLY-WP-0001; ASSEMBLY-WP-0004 now depends on ASSEMBLY-WP-0002 2026-10-12 00:34:24 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0002-concept-promotion.md Complete ASSEMBLY-WP-0002: promote organism-lens concepts, add Network Object Model 2026-10-12 00:36:27 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0003-seed-integration.md Complete ASSEMBLY-WP-0003; add GADM organism mapping, glossary, ASSEMBLY-WP-0004 2026-10-12 00:22:39 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0004-gadm-0.2-modeling.md Implement ASSEMBLY-WP-0004: GADM-0.2 model, simulation, scenarios, sensitivity 2026-10-12 00:43:53 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-gadm-0.3.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0005-T06: life-cycle cohorts; finish WP-0005; add WP-0006 2026-10-12 07:38:22 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0006-gadm-0.4.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0006-T05: agency per cohort; finish WP-0006; add WP-0008 2026-10-12 09:37:43 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0007-gadm-sectors-goods.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0007 finished: T04 two-good demand split (genuine decoupling in the generative regime, sinks breach postponed; BR-010 resolved); residuals to WP-0018 2026-10-13 23:17:36 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0008-empirical-grounding.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0008: empirical grounding of key GADM parameters 2026-10-12 09:45:19 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-adoption-band-jurisdictions.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T05: GSA per band anchor (gsa_band.py, AdoptionBand § 5); close WP-0009 2026-10-13 17:14:23 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0010-reality-checkpoints.md Close WP-0010 and WP-0013; residuals to new WP-0014 (checkpoint operations 2027) and WP-0015 (first checkpoint review); WP-0011/0012 depend on WP-0015 2026-10-13 16:36:22 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0011-cross-border-coupling.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0011 finished: context scenarios (world.context), hypothesis re-test (world_scenarios.py), CrossBorder § 5; Calibration v0.5 (AR E); residuals to WP-0016 2026-10-13 19:53:29 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0012-model-matching-flipping.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0012 finished: model matching (matching.py, observed series), flip definition and regime filter, synthetic test (negative: flips not yet reliable), FlipRegister, BR-009; residuals to WP-0017 2026-10-13 20:33:38 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0013-calibration.md Close WP-0010 and WP-0013; residuals to new WP-0014 (checkpoint operations 2027) and WP-0015 (first checkpoint review); WP-0011/0012 depend on WP-0015 2026-10-13 16:36:22 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0014-checkpoint-operations-2027.md WP-0015-T06: AR adoption growth and Pm sources found (OWID/Microsoft, FRED GFDD); fix Google/IDB citation; WP-0014: rein-aharness status and pin branch 2026-10-19 15:02:47 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0015-first-checkpoint-review.md Calibration v0.7: AR market concentration measured (GFDD top-10 57-80 %), AR adoption growth narrowed (1.36-1.65) by OWID/Microsoft relative signal 2026-10-19 15:12:26 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0016-open-economy-refinements.md Close loose ends: WP-0018 finished (T04 capture link tested, T05 reference-model decision), WP-0016 finished (J4 from China data), WP-0014 blocked (owner declaration + grant v2 confirmed; waits on rein-aharness publisher and 2027), WP-0015 blocked (EU Pm measured, noise calibrated; AR data and Q4 2026 data pending); Calibration v0.6 2026-10-14 02:31:02 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0017-reliable-flip-detection.md ASSEMBLY-WP-0017 finished: IMM filter on observed US data (B3 through mid-2026, B3→B4 flip candidate Q3 2026, not confirmed), robustness, checkpoint pointer; residual to WP-0015-T07 2026-10-13 22:41:08 +02:00
ASSEMBLY-WP-0018-gadm05-grounding.md Close loose ends: WP-0018 finished (T04 capture link tested, T05 reference-model decision), WP-0016 finished (J4 from China data), WP-0014 blocked (owner declaration + grant v2 confirmed; waits on rein-aharness publisher and 2027), WP-0015 blocked (EU Pm measured, noise calibrated; AR data and Q4 2026 data pending); Calibration v0.6 2026-10-14 02:31:02 +02:00