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Author SHA1 Message Date
060eb8cf6a T01: cost-accounting survey — and a 2.7x correction to our own numbers
Tier L (structural L, chaos d10=2). Every candidate exercised locally
against the CB-WP-0001 transcript rather than cited.

Verdict: session transcript JSONL is the only exact instrument; git
commits supply the attribution index it lacks; the State Hub is a
durable sink whose schema cannot express cache tokens at all; the
status bar and billing API are eliminated on availability.

Three errors found in this workplan's own Purpose section, all
overstating cost:

  - one API response is written as up to six JSONL lines, each
    repeating the same usage object (657 lines, 346 responses)
  - a multi-model session was priced entirely at Fable 5 rates,
    violating a per-model rule MetricsAndScenarios §1a already had
  - the transcript is a live file, so an unpinned total is not
    repeatable (346 -> 356 responses between two runs minutes apart)

CB-WP-0001 pinned at fc76445: $92.21, not $248.46. The qualitative
finding sharpens rather than weakens — 88.4% of spend is cache, at
256:1 cache-read to output tokens.

Neither error was of the harness-does-nothing class the positive
control was written for; both sums ran over real data. What caught
them was re-deriving a number instead of quoting it. Raised for T07
and for CB-WP-0003 T01.

Also measured: the one subagent (adversarial review) cost $0.66 and is
invisible to a collector reading only the main transcript.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-31 04:27:52 +02:00
8e11fc412e Amend CB-EV-0001; add CB-WP-0002 for cost accounting
Some checks failed
ci / check (push) Failing after 4s
AM-4: measured what each remediation option actually buys, rather than
leaving one recommendation unquantified. serde_yaml optional removes 6
crates, not 5 — ryu belongs to that group, since serde_json now uses
zmij for floats. Full ladder: -6 to 27, serde_json -4 more to 23,
inlining SHA-256 -8 to 19, inlining ChaCha12 -4 to 15. Only
reimplementing a primitive gets under 20, so the target is unreachable
without undoing K5/K7.

Also records that crate count compares badly across ecosystems, and
offers the alternative the count is a proxy for: 307,317 lines of
third-party source under audit against 3,398 of our own.

AM-12: corrected from "uncomputable" to measured. The refusal to
estimate was right; the claim that no instrument existed was wrong.
Session transcripts carry exact per-message usage including the cache
breakdown. This session cost $248.46 at Fable 5 rates, of which 53% is
cache reads — cost is driven by context size times turn count, not by
output volume. What is still missing is per-task attribution, since
nothing marks task boundaries in a transcript.

CB-WP-0002 makes cost measurable and attributable: survey the
instruments, decide the attribution model by ADR, spec metrics that
include cost composition rather than a bare total, build a collector
whose positive control refuses to emit unreconciled numbers, and prove
it by answering a question that could not be answered before.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-31 03:26:03 +02:00
290ad06c31 T08 iter 4: GROUND-OU/ND choices and Support consent
Closes the three rules deferred in iter 2 and 3 because each needed a
decision from a player rather than a default I would have invented:

- GR-A11 GROUND-OU: restore a Denied Problem, protect a face-up one
  from Deny, or cancel an Attack aimed at the chooser.
- GR-A12 GROUND-ND: remove a Blame token, break a relation involving
  the chooser, or reject a Reverse.
- GR-L02 / GR-A05: the Support target answers after Reveal — accept or
  decline a Bond where no relation exists, flip or break an existing
  Rivalry. A Bond can no longer form without consent.

Each choice is validated against the state it claims to act on: a
restore needs a Denied Problem, a cancel needs an Attack actually aimed
at the chooser, a Blame removal needs that token present, a break needs
that relation to exist. GR takes no sub-choice, and OU and ND may only
use choices from their own list.

GR-A09 ordering follows the U8 default: an OU cancellation is chosen at
step 1 and applies first, so a Protection token is spent only when it
is what actually cancels.

14 scenarios pass; AM-1 coverage 41/58 (70%), up from 34/58.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-31 02:27:25 +02:00
a09d76f370 T08 iter 1: scenario runner executes; GROUND setup and Select step
Replaces the RunOutcome::Unimplemented stub with a real runner:

- ScenarioGame trait: games own setup presets and the command
  vocabulary, the runner owns execution, assertions, and determinism.
- K8 double-run: every scenario runs twice on the same seed and fails
  on state-hash divergence.
- K4/K11: applied events go through Envelope into EventLog, so seq
  monotonicity is enforced on the real path, not just in unit tests.
- setup.patch was parsed and silently dropped; the runner now applies
  it generically and errors on a path that does not exist, so a typo
  in a scenario can never pass as a no-op.
- Assertions: dot-path state lookup over objects and arrays, ordered
  event subsequence matching by field subset, exact rejects-set match.

GROUND rules realized: GR-S01..S04 setup (seeded shuffle, deal, Lead,
Surface Problem face up), GR-R02 Select commit, GR-R03 stress gate and
Freedom spend, GR-A13 targeting legality.

cb-sim dispatches by the scenario's game prefix and reports rule
coverage. 3 scenarios pass, 7 rules covered; fmt/clippy/tests green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-31 02:14:34 +02:00