Tier L (structural L, chaos d10=2). Every candidate exercised locally
against the CB-WP-0001 transcript rather than cited.
Verdict: session transcript JSONL is the only exact instrument; git
commits supply the attribution index it lacks; the State Hub is a
durable sink whose schema cannot express cache tokens at all; the
status bar and billing API are eliminated on availability.
Three errors found in this workplan's own Purpose section, all
overstating cost:
- one API response is written as up to six JSONL lines, each
repeating the same usage object (657 lines, 346 responses)
- a multi-model session was priced entirely at Fable 5 rates,
violating a per-model rule MetricsAndScenarios §1a already had
- the transcript is a live file, so an unpinned total is not
repeatable (346 -> 356 responses between two runs minutes apart)
CB-WP-0001 pinned at fc76445: $92.21, not $248.46. The qualitative
finding sharpens rather than weakens — 88.4% of spend is cache, at
256:1 cache-read to output tokens.
Neither error was of the harness-does-nothing class the positive
control was written for; both sums ran over real data. What caught
them was re-deriving a number instead of quoting it. Raised for T07
and for CB-WP-0003 T01.
Also measured: the one subagent (adversarial review) cost $0.66 and is
invisible to a collector reading only the main transcript.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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74 lines
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# 2026-07-31 — how the cost-accounting survey was conducted
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Trail for `research/CB-RES-0002-cost-accounting.md` (CB-WP-0002 T01).
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Tier L, chaos d10 = 2 (no override).
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## Method
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No web sources. Every candidate was exercised locally against the
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CB-WP-0001 session transcript
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(`~/.claude/projects/-home-worsch-clay-borg/8cbd5701-….jsonl`, 5.1 MB,
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2,040 lines) and the clay-borg git history. The survey's own rule —
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measured beats cited — applied to itself, which is the only reason the
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errors below were found.
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## What was measured, in order
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1. **Transcript shape.** Counted line types and collected the union of
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`usage` keys. Found 654 usage-bearing assistant lines, and four
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distinct `message.model` values where one was assumed.
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2. **`usage.iterations`.** Suspected as a double-count source. Checked
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whether iteration outputs sum to the top-level `output_tokens`: they
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match in all 654 cases, and no message had >1 iteration. Cleared.
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3. **`requestId` cardinality.** 346 distinct ids across 657 lines. This
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was the finding that overturned the workplan's numbers.
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4. **Dedup validation.** For all 208 multi-line groups, compared the
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serialized `usage` object across the group: 208 identical, 0
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differing, 0 mixed-model. Block-type patterns confirmed the split is
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`thinking` / `text` / `tool_use`, i.e. a transcript-writer artifact.
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5. **Re-priced three ways** (per-line all-Fable, per-line per-model,
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deduped per-model) to isolate how much of the error came from each
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mistake: $289.12 / $210.05 / $93.15.
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6. **Hub API.** Called `get_token_summary` on CB-WP-0001's workplan.
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401,100 tokens over 7 events for 9 tasks, all filed under Fable 5.
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Compared against the transcript to quantify the gap (~8× on output).
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7. **Status bar and billing API.** Checked `~/.claude/settings.json` for
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`statusLine` (absent) and for an admin key (absent). Both eliminated
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on availability before any further evaluation.
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8. **Git boundaries.** Read `git log` with ISO timestamps to confirm
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commit density and that subjects name tasks. Noted the UTC/+02:00
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mismatch against transcript timestamps.
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9. **Subagent tree.** Found `<session>/subagents/` while checking whether
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`isSidechain` was ever true (it never is). Priced the one subagent
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transcript: $0.66.
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## Dead ends
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- **`isSidechain` as the subagent signal.** It is present on every line
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and `false` on every line in this session; it does not mark subagent
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work in the main file because subagent work is not *in* the main file.
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Looking for a flag wasted a step that a directory listing answered.
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- **`tool-results/` sidecar directory** (340 KB) was inspected as a
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possible cost source. It holds raw tool outputs for replay, carries no
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usage data, and is not billed separately. Not a candidate.
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## The finding worth carrying forward
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The workplan that exists to make cost measurable **opened with a
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mismeasured cost**, off by ~2.7×, and its two errors were of different
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kinds: a format artifact (double-counted lines) and a rule that existed
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but was not applied (per-model pricing, already mandated by
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`specs/MetricsAndScenarios.md` §1a).
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The second is the more uncomfortable one. InnerLoop v1.0's answer to bad
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numbers is the positive control, and a positive control would not have
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caught either of these — both sums were over real data that really
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existed. What caught them was **re-deriving a number instead of quoting
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it**. That belongs in the loop as its own rule, and is raised for T07:
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*a number inherited from a previous pass is re-derived before it is used
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as a target, or it is cited as unverified.*
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Reported into CB-WP-0003 T01's rule-enforceability audit as well: this is
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a fifth error instance, and it is **not** of the harness-does-nothing
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class that T10 predicted. The class is "trusted arithmetic over real
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data".
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