test-driver/research/hypotheses/H-005-verification-energy.md
tegwick cf682281d7 Complete local generalisation tasks and document remaining experiment blockers
Assistant: codex
Assistant-Model: gpt-6-astra
Assistant-Session: 01a0e76f-be98-7ae3-965d-e0b31290a4c4
2026-09-28 12:06:24 +02:00

1.4 KiB

id title status created experiments concepts
H-005 Verification Energy DORMANT-INDEFINITE 2026-08-22
C-energy

H-005 — Verification Energy

Claim

Historical evidence about defects caught, adaptations required, false positives and duplication can identify verification assets whose continued execution is more valuable than others.

Falsification condition

Energy scores computed from event history fail to rank assets better than a trivial baseline (e.g. recency, or uniform priority) when predicting which assets subsequently catch a defect.

Why no experiment is planned yet

This hypothesis is not testable at the current scale and is deliberately dormant. Validating it requires event history across many assets over months — history the spike will not accumulate. Implementing a scoring function now would produce a number that cannot be checked, which is worse than no number.

TD-WP-0002 recorded raw events, but no decision used them. TD-WP-0003-T04 removed capture and scoring concepts on 2026-09-28. Ordinary run evidence and verdicts remain; no energy history is promised for future reconstruction.

This is the hypothesis most likely to be cheaply built and never validated, which is precisely why it is fenced off.

Status log

  • 2026-08-22 PROPOSED, dormant by decision. Event capture only.

  • 2026-09-28 DORMANT-INDEFINITE. Capture removed; no new implementation gate.