test-driver/research/hypotheses/H-005-verification-energy.md
tegwick cf682281d7 Complete local generalisation tasks and document remaining experiment blockers
Assistant: codex
Assistant-Model: gpt-6-astra
Assistant-Session: 01a0e76f-be98-7ae3-965d-e0b31290a4c4
2026-09-28 12:06:24 +02:00

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Markdown

---
id: H-005
title: Verification Energy
status: DORMANT-INDEFINITE
created: "2026-08-22"
experiments: []
concepts: [C-energy]
---
# H-005 — Verification Energy
## Claim
Historical evidence about defects caught, adaptations required, false positives
and duplication can identify verification assets whose continued execution is
more valuable than others.
## Falsification condition
Energy scores computed from event history fail to rank assets better than a
trivial baseline (e.g. recency, or uniform priority) when predicting which assets
subsequently catch a defect.
## Why no experiment is planned yet
**This hypothesis is not testable at the current scale and is deliberately
dormant.** Validating it requires event history across many assets over months —
history the spike will not accumulate. Implementing a scoring function now would
produce a number that cannot be checked, which is worse than no number.
`TD-WP-0002` recorded raw events, but no decision used them. TD-WP-0003-T04
removed capture and scoring concepts on 2026-09-28. Ordinary run evidence and
verdicts remain; no energy history is promised for future reconstruction.
This is the hypothesis most likely to be **cheaply built and never validated**,
which is precisely why it is fenced off.
## Status log
- 2026-08-22 `PROPOSED`, dormant by decision. Event capture only.
- 2026-09-28 `DORMANT-INDEFINITE`. Capture removed; no new implementation gate.