tegwick
72feabf573
- checkpoints/: schedule (phase windows, authoritative), README protocol, PLAYBOOK for the executing agent, IndicatorCatalog v0.1 (light + full), append-only predictions register - activity-definitions/: setup-daily (13-15 Oct 2026), monthly-2026, quarterly, annual; agent-session label routes to rein-aharness Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Assistant: claude-code Assistant-Model: opus Assistant-Process: 1494246@bnt-lap001 Assistant-Session: caf6de6f-f9e4-47ce-a584-49baa271fa4b
37 lines
2.9 KiB
Markdown
37 lines
2.9 KiB
Markdown
# Checkpoint indicator catalog
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**Status:** v0.1 (minimal, for setup runs). ASSEMBLY-WP-0010-T01 extends it to
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full sensor bundles for all stocks (`metrics/MetricsCatalog.md`).
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Jurisdictions: **US**, **EU** (with Germany where available), **Argentina**
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(the owner's hypotheses: the EU lags, Argentina may thrive). Add others only
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with a reason.
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Mapping caveat: these indicators are *proxies*. None of them equals the model
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quantity. Band positions are judged from several proxies together, never from
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one.
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## Light checkpoint: adoption, investment, sentiment, legislation
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| # | Indicator | Jurisdiction | Primary source | Model quantity (proxy for) |
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| L1 | Share of firms using AI to produce goods or services | US | U.S. Census Bureau, Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS) | K_Ω adoption breadth |
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| L2 | Share of enterprises using AI technologies | EU, DE | Eurostat, ICT usage in enterprises (AI module) | K_Ω adoption breadth |
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| L3 | AI use by firms or workers | AR | INDEC / national ICT surveys, or OECD / IDB regional data | K_Ω adoption breadth |
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| L4 | Share of tasks or conversations by occupation; automation vs. augmentation | global, per country where published | Anthropic Economic Index; comparable usage indices | K_Ω task share, automation share |
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| L5 | AI-related investment (data-center capex, information-processing equipment) as share of GDP or of GDP growth | US, EU | BEA; Fed / central bank notes; company capex guidance | organism investment `aO` |
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| L6 | Public sentiment toward AI (benefit vs. harm, trust) | US, EU, AR | Pew Research; Eurobarometer; Edelman Trust Barometer; Latinobarómetro | sentiment Σ |
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| L7 | AI legislation milestones since the last checkpoint | US (federal and state), EU (AI Act implementation), AR | official journals; legislative trackers | legislation levers (permissiveness, `m`, `expl`) |
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## Full checkpoint: additions (annual)
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| # | Indicator | Jurisdiction | Primary source | Model quantity |
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| F1 | Labour share of income | US, EU, AR | BLS / BEA, Eurostat, INDEC | claims breadth B, wage share |
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| F2 | Market concentration (top-firm sales shares, HHI) in digital sectors | US, EU | competition authorities, academic trackers | domination P (market, infrastructure channels) |
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| F3 | Leading-firm displacement / persistence | US | Bessen et al. series and updates | self-reinforcement r_k |
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| F4 | Time use: leisure, TV, social media | US (ATUS), EU (HETUS where available) | BLS ATUS; DataReportal | attention headroom A |
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| F5 | Informal care hours | US, EU | AARP/NAC; Eurofound | care load |
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| F6 | Displaced-worker re-employment by age | US | BLS Displaced Worker Survey (biennial) | senior agency modifiers |
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| F7 | Public R&D share of GDP; open-source investment initiatives | US, EU, DE | OECD MSTI; national data | commons investment IX |
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| F8 | Energy use of data centers | US, EU | IEA; national energy agencies | ecological draw of K_Ω (`e2`) |
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