tegwick
3c2c47f20a
Findings: filings current through JA 2024; no active StB mandate (RISK-006); DUO backlog (RISK-007); 4 office-hour items queued; audit template v0 created; first dogfood evidence entry logged. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
97 lines
2.8 KiB
Markdown
97 lines
2.8 KiB
Markdown
# Risk Register
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> Status: draft v0.1 — 2026-07-16. Known failure modes, mitigations, and
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> escalation paths. Reviewed in the daily brief; updated whenever a risk
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> changes.
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## Risk entry template
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```yaml
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id: RISK-NNN
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title: ""
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class: legal | financial | security | product | attention | ecosystem
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likelihood: low | medium | high
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impact: low | medium | high
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status: open | mitigating | accepted | closed
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mitigation: ""
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escalation: ""
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```
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## Open risks
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```yaml
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id: RISK-001
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title: "Compliance state of dormant GmbH (filings, tax, registry)"
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class: legal
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likelihood: low
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impact: high
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status: mitigating
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mitigation: "Audit v0 (2026-07-16): filings current through JA 2024; registry details still unverified (OH-2026-004). Residual gap tracked as RISK-006."
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escalation: "Hard legal deadline discovered → allowed escalation even when founder unavailable"
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```
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```yaml
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id: RISK-002
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title: "IP ownership between Bernd (private) and GmbH unclarified"
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class: legal
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likelihood: high
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impact: high
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status: open
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mitigation: "Inventory during audit; clarify before any ecosystem product is sold"
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escalation: "Blocks S4 (first external offer) if unresolved"
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```
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```yaml
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id: RISK-003
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title: "Founder attention is the single point of failure"
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class: attention
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likelihood: high
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impact: high
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status: mitigating
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mitigation: "AutonomyPolicy lanes; decision packages; unattended-progress design"
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escalation: "Decision queue older than 14 days → prune and re-prioritize"
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```
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```yaml
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id: RISK-004
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title: "Too many parallel product ideas dilute focus (idea cloud > portfolio)"
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class: product
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likelihood: high
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impact: medium
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status: open
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mitigation: "Offer Catalog levels; one flagship offer first; success ladder discipline"
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escalation: "Founder decision on focus if >3 offers active simultaneously"
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```
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```yaml
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id: RISK-005
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title: "Agentic stack becomes busywork generator instead of progress engine"
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class: product
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likelihood: medium
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impact: medium
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status: open
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mitigation: "Every loop must feed a queue, a decision, or evidence; brutalist founder interface; token budgets"
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escalation: "Weekly review shows activity without milestone movement"
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```
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```yaml
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id: RISK-006
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title: "No active Steuerberater mandate — JA 2025 and ongoing filings uncovered"
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class: legal
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likelihood: high
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impact: high
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status: mitigating
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mitigation: "Inquiry to Bohle-Horsmann sent 2026-07-06 (OH-2026-001); fallback: re-engage Weglarzy/FSW or find alternative. DUO transition prepared (OH-2026-002)."
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escalation: "No mandate secured by end of September 2026 → founder decision on fallback"
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```
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```yaml
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id: RISK-007
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title: "DUO receipt backlog and license dependency on former StB"
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class: financial
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likelihood: medium
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impact: medium
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status: open
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mitigation: "Backlog catch-up + transition plan (OH-2026-002); Weglarzy agreed to accompany DUO transfer"
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escalation: "Loss of DUO access before transfer → immediate export of Belegablage"
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```
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