binky-control/finance/CostRunRate.md
tegwick 0144ca8131 finance: record railiance01 VM upgrade in cost base
4 vCPU / 16 GB at 25,19 EUR/mo, 24-month commitment (~604,56 EUR total,
to ~2028-07). Documented run-rate floor now ~100 EUR/mo. Added note that
this table feeds adaptive-pricing's allocated_fixed_cost (cost floor) —
adaptive-pricing consumes cost data, it does not capture it.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 14:19:30 +02:00

4.5 KiB
Raw Blame History

Cost & Run-Rate Table

Status: v1 — 2026-07-16 (BINKY-WP-0003-T03, AWQ-004). Feeds the cash/runway view (Finance Steward loop). Confidence per row; amounts marked TBC need Qonto statements (OH-2026-003) or founder confirmation. Currency EUR unless noted.

Recurring costs

# Item Provider Monthly (gross) Paid from Confidence / source
1 Fixed desk, HUB31 Darmstadt Technologie- u. Gründerzentrum Verwaltungs-GmbH TBC Qonto Contract since 2019-04-01, renewed to 2027-04-01 (signed annex 2026-03-23); rent amount not in the annex — pull from Qonto
2 DATEV / IT pass-through FSW (old StB) ~40,31 (483,69/yr) Qonto Documented: invoice 2026/651 for JanDec 2025. Continues only while DUO runs via FSW (RISK-007)
3 StB fees (JA, filings) FSW → Bohle-Horsmann (pending) TBC (annual, not monthly) Qonto Mandate transition open (RISK-006); budget once new mandate quotes
4 Qonto account Qonto TBC (founder: "expensive for usage") Qonto Plan review queued OH-2026-003; changes Red lane
5 bubble.io Starter Web Plan (app "coulomb") Bubble Group Inc. $32 founder private card ⚠️ Documented: invoice 2026-03-9049150, billed to private gmail/card
6 AI subscriptions various TBC founder private ⚠️ Founder note 2026-03-24: paid privately, not itemized yet
7 Domain(s): binky-hedgehog.com (+ inventory pending) TBC TBC (~13/mo typical) TBC AWQ-003 domain inventory will enumerate registrar + payer
8 Stripe Stripe usage-based fees only n/a No fixed fee; per-transaction. One live subscription flows in
9 railiance01 VM (4 vCPU / 16 GB RAM) TBC (hosting provider) 25,19 TBC Founder-stated 2026-07-16: upgraded to this size at 25,19 €/mo with 24-month commitment (≈604,56 € total obligation, runs to ~2028-07). Provider + payment source to confirm. Other infra (workstation is private) — none known

Known recurring income

Item Counterparty Amount Notes
Meeting-room sublet share Binect 450 € per event (25% × 2 days × 900 €) Founder note 2026-03-02; invoice still to be issued ("endlich abrechnen") — open receivable
Stripe subscription own/self ~monthly sub price TBC Proves pipeline since ~2025

Findings

  1. Private/company bleed (⚠️ rows 56): bubble.io and AI subscriptions are company-purpose costs on private payment — cash-flow invisible to the company and messy for the JA. Action: move to Qonto card or set up proper Auslagenerstattung — needs StB advice → added to OH-2026-001 agenda.
  2. Liquidity is thin: founder note 2026-03-24 records a month where DUO pass-through + desk rent were not covered by the Qonto balance. Until a runway view exists, treat every new recurring cost as a Yellow decision.
  3. Open receivable: the 450 € Binect meeting-room billing was still unissued as of March — verify status, else invoice (founder/Orange).
  4. Biggest unknowns are the desk rent and Qonto plan — both fall out of one Qonto statement pull (OH-2026-003, already queued).
  5. railiance01 commitment (2026-07-16): the 24-month term makes this the first multi-year obligation besides the desk — it belongs in the contracts/obligations inventory (CompanyReactivationPlan.md). If it runs over a private card like bubble.io, it joins the finding-1 cleanup.

Feeding adaptive-pricing (cost floor)

This table is the source for the allocated_fixed_cost input of adaptive-pricing's boundary engine (cost-floor price boundary, adaptive_pricing_core/boundary_engine.py). adaptive-pricing does not capture costs itself — when its Coulomb pricing project needs a cost floor, derive it from the run-rate here (railiance01 hosting is a direct infrastructure component of that floor).

Estimated run-rate (floor)

Documented + typical minimums only: DATEV ~40 + bubble ~30 + railiance01 ~25 + domains ~2 ≈ ~100 €/mo, plus desk rent (likely the dominant cost, low hundreds) plus Qonto plan plus annual StB fees. A defensible total needs the Qonto pull; target: replace this paragraph with a verified figure after the next command day.

Maintenance

Update on: any new subscription, mandate quote, Qonto statement pull, or JA. Owner: Finance Steward loop (rhythm session may update rows; adding new recurring spend is never below Yellow lane).