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tegwick
bab551a509 WP-0018-T02 started: first control variable recorded; remaining sources listed 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 23:33:55 +02:00
tegwick
e04bb8250c ASSEMBLY-WP-0018-T03: phi_r 0.15 and xn 0.6 grounded (Anthropic Economic Index, GitHub Octoverse); GADM-0.5 experiments re-run; BR-011 update 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 23:33:04 +02:00
tegwick
78d79ac4e3 ASSEMBLY-WP-0018-T01: dematerialization vs. Eurostat resource productivity; operator corrected; decoupling depends on phi_r (EU fit 0.66: none; DE 0.15: holds), BR-011; E5 wired 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 23:26:24 +02:00
repo-manager
956b9576b5 repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 23:17:38 +02:00
tegwick
509a50eb04 ASSEMBLY-WP-0007 finished: T04 two-good demand split (genuine decoupling in the generative regime, sinks breach postponed; BR-010 resolved); residuals to WP-0018 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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tegwick
80055bc700 ASSEMBLY-WP-0007-T03: endogenous selection weights (capture slow; robust capture/de-capture; no material VFAC effect); T04 opened as two-good demand split 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 23:15:04 +02:00
tegwick
8dd9e97d33 ASSEMBLY-WP-0007-T02: ecological resource classes (renewables, materials, sinks); sinks bind the generative regime; grounding test passed; low-carbon lever 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 23:11:25 +02:00
tegwick
e05c8f100f ASSEMBLY-WP-0007 active, T01 done: GADM-0.5-dev rival/non-rival output (phi_r, xn); commons feed carries the non-rival effect, no genuine decoupling (BR-010) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 23:07:39 +02:00
tegwick
824187da3b ASSEMBLY-WP-0016-T02: endogenous foreign shares and split calibration hook (domestic segment with own counters); share-shifting levers effective but modest; CrossBorder § 8 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 22:59:32 +02:00
tegwick
8bb8c8fd4b ASSEMBLY-WP-0016-T04: export channel (xport), H2 split (output yes from 4.5 % of GDP exports without the loop; VFAC no); CrossBorder § 7; CB6 indicator 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 22:53:40 +02:00
tegwick
758f112f49 ASSEMBLY-WP-0016-T01: lineage portability and lineage/cloud host access rules; T03 kappa not identified; CrossBorder § 6 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 22:50:09 +02:00
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e09f13354f repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 22:41:12 +02:00
tegwick
945b28e6ab ASSEMBLY-WP-0017 finished: IMM filter on observed US data (B3 through mid-2026, B3→B4 flip candidate Q3 2026, not confirmed), robustness, checkpoint pointer; residual to WP-0015-T07 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 22:41:08 +02:00
tegwick
97d0fb71a9 ASSEMBLY-WP-0017-T06: Census private office construction (data centers) as investment indicator L5b; T05 unblocked 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 22:09:14 +02:00
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932046d58d repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 22:07:28 +02:00
tegwick
0ccf4f7cf7 ASSEMBLY-WP-0017-T04 passed: flips judged on anchor weights (6/6 switches in 0.5 y, 0 false flips); reliance on investment documented; T06 AI-specific investment series 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 22:07:26 +02:00
tegwick
0f6ef9fb3b ASSEMBLY-WP-0017 T02/T03 done, T04 in progress: IMM multi-indicator regime filter (0 false flips, accelerations detected in 1-1.5 y, slowdowns only after 2.5-3.75 y); observed investment and discovery series 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 21:35:28 +02:00
tegwick
65584be429 ASSEMBLY-WP-0017-T01: sentiment reference sig_ref (BR-009 resolved); calibrated pipeline re-run; matching loop weights ≈ 0.5 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 21:14:14 +02:00
repo-manager
3b85440a17 repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 20:33:40 +02:00
tegwick
597eb4176e ASSEMBLY-WP-0012 finished: model matching (matching.py, observed series), flip definition and regime filter, synthetic test (negative: flips not yet reliable), FlipRegister, BR-009; residuals to WP-0017 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 20:33:38 +02:00
repo-manager
eeb5c28284 repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 19:53:30 +02:00
tegwick
3b755649af ASSEMBLY-WP-0011 finished: context scenarios (world.context), hypothesis re-test (world_scenarios.py), CrossBorder § 5; Calibration v0.5 (AR E); residuals to WP-0016 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 19:53:29 +02:00
tegwick
a4b4413098 Execution declaration approved by the founder (decision addendum); WP-0014-T01 updated 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 19:46:38 +02:00
tegwick
e7ef5d463b ASSEMBLY-WP-0011 T01–T03, T06 done, T05 first part: channel inventory and coupling design (CrossBorder.md), world.py coupled simulator with tests, BR-007 test (cross_border.py, DMA effect calibrated ≈ 0), BR-008, coupling indicators 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 19:42:11 +02:00
tegwick
2ca56e5f36 WP-0014-T01 in progress: declaration drafted, harness questions sent 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 19:37:28 +02:00
repo-manager
8098c59a44 repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 19:15:59 +02:00
tegwick
f062588ed9 WP-0015: L4/L7 collected, mapping update, 35/39 targets measured (Calibration v0.4), GSA around calibrated starts, first prediction observations; T06 waits for AR growth and EU/AR Pm 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 19:15:58 +02:00
tegwick
3c2a155f48 Calibration v0.3: 28 measured targets (cloud, frontier-model, search, OS shares; B; US attention; sentiment US/EU/AR; AR adoption), aext and auto fitted, 39/39 in range; WP-0011/0012 context updated 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 17:24:04 +02:00
tegwick
9bd9f6f4b7 Review 2026-10-13: measured Pd, Pmem (StatCounter) and US sentiment (Pew); re-calibration (Calibration v0.2); WP-0011/0012 set up against the calibrated start (ready) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 17:17:14 +02:00
tegwick
7ea8068374 ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T05: GSA per band anchor (gsa_band.py, AdoptionBand § 5); close WP-0009 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 17:14:23 +02:00
tegwick
7ae5ab682c WP-0014/0015: flavor residual 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 16:37:29 +02:00
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f272446da2 repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 16:36:45 +02:00
tegwick
84d4f4067b Close WP-0010 and WP-0013; residuals to new WP-0014 (checkpoint operations 2027) and WP-0015 (first checkpoint review); WP-0011/0012 depend on WP-0015 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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b1c7d4c549 repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 16:16:11 +02:00
tegwick
25f91c73c7 ASSEMBLY-WP-0013-T01–T05: calibration to measured data; calibrated readings (R2 revised, R4 new); BR-006/007; gsa.py --anchor 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 16:16:05 +02:00
tegwick
141c5d9e5c ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T06: predictions v1 (P-2026-001…004), growth-aligned band ranges; runner cites registered predictions 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 16:01:15 +02:00
repo-manager
8ce35a3597 repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 15:58:22 +02:00
tegwick
ca7e1abd95 New workplans: WP-0011 cross-border coupling, WP-0012 model matching and flipping, WP-0013 calibration (0011/0012 wait on 0013) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 15:58:20 +02:00
tegwick
15828606b4 ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T04: jurisdiction archetypes J1–J4 (perm lever, jurisdictions.py, AdoptionBand § 4, provisional EU/US/AR mapping) 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 15:04:13 +02:00
tegwick
56649466ac ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T03: sentiment and legitimacy loop in GADM-0.4 (opt-in); legitimacy.py; AdoptionBand § 3; BR-005 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 14:17:21 +02:00
tegwick
b1bb18e14d ASSEMBLY-WP-0010-T07 done: railiance01 web-fetcher tracks Forgejo origin 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 14:13:56 +02:00
tegwick
b0501e1ea7 ASSEMBLY-WP-0010-T07: web-fetcher on Forgejo and registered; railiance01 repoint open 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 14:08:35 +02:00
tegwick
c69b037f1b ASSEMBLY-WP-0010-T08: 22 verified full-checkpoint source specs; catalog access classes corrected 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 13:28:07 +02:00
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620346fe84 repo.work.assign_missing_identifiers 
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 2026-10-13 10:44:42 +02:00
tegwick
f67787017c ASSEMBLY-WP-0010-T01: indicator catalog v0.2 — sensor bundles for all stocks; T08 for source wiring 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-13 10:44:35 +02:00
tegwick
f6c03f5794 Sync after WP-0010 update 
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-12 18:52:15 +02:00
tegwick
9b28eb4980 ASSEMBLY-WP-0010: schedule live via activity-core + rein-aharness; checkpoint 0; decision record 
- T02/T03/T04 done: protocol, baseline checkpoint 0 (2026-10-12), recurring
  schedule (activity-core f9f2640, rein-aharness 06bd08c)
- docs/decisions/2026-10-12-checkpoint-origin-publication.md
- New tasks: T05 governed execution profile before 2026-12-31, T06 disable
  transitional definitions in 2027, T07 publish/register web-fetcher
- AGENTS.md: checkpoint commands

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-12 18:51:59 +02:00
tegwick
72feabf573 ASSEMBLY-WP-0010-T02 (part): checkpoint protocol, playbook, schedule, catalog v0.1, register; activity definitions 
- checkpoints/: schedule (phase windows, authoritative), README protocol,
  PLAYBOOK for the executing agent, IndicatorCatalog v0.1 (light + full),
  append-only predictions register
- activity-definitions/: setup-daily (13-15 Oct 2026), monthly-2026,
  quarterly, annual; agent-session label routes to rein-aharness

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-12 18:21:55 +02:00
tegwick
1b0a28361e ASSEMBLY-WP-0009-T01/T02: adoption band B1-B4 and probe across it 
- gadm04: optional self-enhancement loop (selfenh, default off)
- grounding.py: band anchors slow/central/fast/aggressive (B4 selfenh 3.0)
- band_probe.py: 36 readings across the band - 22 robust, 7 quantitative
  shifts, 7 qualitative breaks; core claims robust; moderate reforms suffice
  only under conservative adoption; under B4 lineage control dominates even
  in the generative regime (structural candidate)
- models/AdoptionBand.md, research/BreakRegister.md (BR-001..004)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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 2026-10-12 10:58:47 +02:00
custodian-sync
f21be21919 chore(consistency): renormalize lifecycle state [auto] 
Updated by fix-consistency on 2026-10-12:
  - workplan status: ready → active

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 2026-10-12 10:56:17 +02:00